News from Members

ESCAP/WMO: TC Hazard Video "Typhoon warnings"
26 May 2015

To promote public awareness on typhoon-related hazards, the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) is leading a DRR project under ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee, to produce a short video on the impact of typhoons, including high winds and waves, heavy rain and storm surge. The objective is to make the information more understandable to the public and make them react through visual impacts of short video. The initiative is raised by WGDRR and comments have been sought from the group members as well as TCS. 

The video is available here

 

 

JMA's New Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System (JMA/MRI-CPS2)
23 May 2015

A new version of JMA’s Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System (JMA/MRI-CPS2) is scheduled to replace the current operational system (JMA/MRI-CPS1) in June 2015. The Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) is used to produce three-month and warm/cold season predictions as well as for El Niño monitoring and outlook work. Changes in the new version include improved resolution and physics in the model’s atmospheric and oceanic components and the introduction of an interactive sea ice model. In the new real-time operational suite, 51-member ensemble integrations are carried out from consecutive initial dates with intervals of five days. This is the same as the configuration of JMA/MRI-CPS1, except for an increase in the number of ensembles per initial date from 9 to 13 (Figure 1). Verification of re-forecasts (hindcasts) shows that JMA/MRI-CPS2 has higher predictive skill than JMA/MRI-CPS1 for three-month, warm/cold season and El Niño predictions.

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SPECIAL MARINE FORECAST TO SUPPORT FISHERS, FARMERS, AND TRANSPORTERS ALONG THE LAKE NYASA BASIN IN SOUTHERN TANZANIA
21 May 2015

Tanzania Meteorological Agency (TMA) in collaboration with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) under the on-going Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) programme has launched a special service whereby communities along the Lake Nyasa Basin will be able to obtain special marine weather forecasts and warnings for Lake Nyasa through various channels including community radios. The service was officially launched on 11th May 2015 by the District Commissioner for Kyela Dr. Thea Ntara who spoke on behalf of Mbeya Regional Commissioner Hon. Abbas Kandoro.

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PERMANENT SECRETARY OF THE PRIME MINISTERS’ OFFICE CALLS FOR OWNERS OF WEATHER AND CLIMATE STATIONS IN TANZANIA TO COLLABORATE
21 May 2015

The Prime Ministers’ Office in collaboration with Tanzania Meteorological Agency (TMA) organized an executives’ workshop for the Chief Executive Officers of institutions owning meteorological stations in Tanzania. The workshop was held at Kibo Palace Hotel in Arusha region on 30th April 2015. While officially opening the workshop, Dr. Florence Turuka, the permanent secretary of the Prime Ministers’ Office and Chairperson of the Steering Committee of the Implementation of GFCS in Tanzania has called for collaboration among institutions owning weather stations within the country in order to enhance countrys’ capacity on collection of weather and climate data, adaptation and mitigation of climate variability and change as well as strengthening early warning systems. ‘The aim of this workshop is to come up with a common understanding on how to integrate all climate stations in the country in order to enhance data bank of the country and agree on data sharing for socio-economic development, protection of lives and properties of Tanzanian People’ Said Dr. Turuka.

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Global warming causes significant changes on the Baltic Sea region
19 May 2015

The climate change has already altered the characteristics of the Baltic Sea region, reveals a recent international study. In the continuation the global warming will increasingly affect e.g. ice cover, flooding and the habitat of the region. According to the report, the worst scenario for the Baltic Sea region is worsening eutrophication situation.

The Second Assessment of Climate Change for the Baltic Sea Basin (BACC II), a recently published report, takes into consideration observed climate changes for approximately the last two hundred years as well as possible changes that might occur by the year 2100. The report serves as a revision and expansion of the 2008 edition of the BACC book. The comprehensive scientific survey includes work from 141 scientists from twelve countries. The authors include 26 Finnish scientists from eight Finnish research institutions.

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Forecast of the Onset Date of Southwest Monsoon - 2015 over Kerala
14 May 2015

The onset of southwest monsoon over Kerala signals the arrival of monsoon over the Indian subcontinent and represents beginning of rainy season over the region. From 2005 onwards ESSO-India Meteorological Department (IMD) has been issuing operational forecasts for the date of monsoon onset over Kerala using an indigenously developed statistical model, which uses the following six predictors ...

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ESTADO ACTUAL DEL CICLO EL NIÑO - LA NIÑA Y PRONÓSTICO CLIMÁTICO PARA CHILE
14 May 2015

La Temperatura Superficial del Mar (TSM) en el Pacífico ecuatorial central ha disminuido en el sector El Niño 4 y ha permanecido constante en la región El Niño 3.4, respecto a la última semana de abril (Fig.1a), mientras que en las regiones ubicadas en el Pacífico Este, la TSM aumentó (El Niño 3: 28.4°C y El Niño 1+2: 26.9°C). Si bien en el Pacífico Central se observó con escasa variación (descenso región El Niño 4 y estable región El Niño 3.4), las anomalías de la TSM se registran cálidas en gran parte del Pacífico, aunque las anomalías están concentradas en la costa Sudamérica, y aun no se desplazan al sector de El Niño 3.4 (Fig.1b). Durante abril el promedio de la anomalía de la TSM de El Niño 3.4 fue de 0.78°C, que corresponde al sexto mes con temperaturas igual o superior a 0.5°C, en el Pacífico Tropical.

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New names adopted for tropical cyclone in 2015
13 May 2015

In 2015, five new names have been added to the name list for tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific and the South China Sea. They are "Barijat", "Mun", "Lan", "Bailu" and "Jongdari", replacing the old names "Utor", "Fitow", "Vicente", "Haiyan" and "Sonamu" respectively.
The new names were endorsed by United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP)/World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Typhoon Committee at its 47th session in Bangkok in February 2015.

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Bureau confirms tropical Pacific now at El Niño levels
12 May 2015

The Bureau of Meteorology’s latest update on the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) today confirms El Niño thresholds have been reached in the tropical Pacific for the first time since March 2010.

Assistant Director for Climate Information Services, Mr Neil Plummer, said El Niño is often associated with below average rainfall across eastern Australia in the second half of the year, and warmer than average daytime temperatures over the southern half of the country.

“The onset of El Niño in Australia in 2015 is a little earlier than usual. Typically El Niño events commence between June and November,” Mr Plummer said.

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Collection of images captured by JMA’s Himawari-8 satellite (Japan Meteorological Agency)
8 May 2015

The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) has released a collection of images captured by its Himawari-8 satellite, which was launched on 7 October 2014 and is currently in the in-orbit commissioning phase.

JMA’s website features comparisons of images from the current MTSAT-2 satellite and Himawari-8, and provides image animations targeting typhoons and volcanic eruptions. Visit the website to check out Himawari-8’s potential prior to the start of its operation in mid-2015.

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