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Septiembre, muy húmedo y muy cálido (AEMet)
El mes de septiembre ha tenido en conjunto carácter muy cálido con una temperatura media mensual promediada sobre España de 21,9º C, valor que supera en 1,6º C la media de este mes (Periodo de Referencia: 1971-2000). Se trata del segundo mes de septiembre más cálido desde que se inició el siglo XXI, sólo por encima de septiembre de 2011 y el octavo mas cálido desde 1961.
El mes ha resultado especialmente cálido, con anomalías térmicas positivas superiores a +2º C en el norte de Galicia, regiones cantábricas, tercio oriental peninsular, Baleares y provincia de Málaga, de forma que en diversos observatorios dentro de estas áreas, las temperaturas medias del mes han llegado a superar los valores máximos de las series históricas. Tal es por ejemplo el caso de La Coruña donde con una temperatura media de 20,7º C se ha superado el anterior máximo de 20,2º C registrado en septiembre de 2006. Los valores de las anomalías térmicas disminuyen hacia el suroeste peninsular, de modo que en algunos puntos de Extremadura y del oeste de Andalucía el mes ha sido incluso ligeramente más fresco de lo normal. En Canarias las temperaturas han sido en conjunto algo más cálidas de lo normal, con anomalías térmicas positivas en general inferiores a 1º C. >> Más
The average temperature for September was higher than normal throughout the whole country. In the west it was in many places also unusually dry.
The average temperature for September was higher than normal throughout the whole country. In the west it was in many places also unusually dry.
The temperature in September varied from a little over 12 degrees in the coastal and archipelago regions to just under 7 degrees in Northern Lapland. The deviation from the average in most of the country was 1 to 2 degrees, with just over 2 degrees being recorded in Sea Lapland and in various places in the southernmost parts of the country. The month's highest temperature, 23.1°C, was recorded on 8 September in Tulkkila, Kokemäki, and the lowest, -9.7°C, was recorded on the 22nd in Saariselkä, Inari. Thermal autumn had by the end of the month progressed only as far as the centre of the country, whereas according to statistics it normally already covers by the end of September the whole country apart from the southernmost islands. Rainfall lower than normal across nearly the whole country apart from the southernmost islands. >> More
Credit: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
A report released today investigates the causes of a wide variety of extreme weather and climate events from around the world in 2013. Published by the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, "Explaining Extreme Events of 2013 from a Climate Perspective" addresses the causes of 16 individual extreme events that occurred on four continents in 2013. NOAA scientists served as three of the four lead editors on the report.
Of the five heat waves studied in the report, human-caused climate change-primarily through the burning of fossil fuels-was found to have clearly increased the severity and likelihood of those events. On the other hand, for other events examined like droughts, heavy rain events, and storms, fingerprinting the influence of human activity was more challenging. The influence of human-caused climate change on these kinds of events was sometimes evident, but often less clear, suggesting natural factors played a far more dominant role. >> More
New model will help forecasters predict a storm’s path, timing and intensity better than ever.
Today, meteorologists at NOAA’s National Weather Service are using a new model that will help improve forecasts and warnings for severe weather events. Thanks to the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model, forecasters will be able to pinpoint neighborhoods under threat of tornadoes and hail, heavy precipitation that could lead to flash flooding or heavy snowfall and warn residents hours before a storm hits. It will also help forecasters provide more information to air traffic managers and pilots about hazards such as air turbulence and thunderstorms.
Developed over the last five years by researchers at NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory, the HRRR is a NOAA research to operations success story. It provides forecasters more detailed, short-term information about a quickly developing small-scale storm by combining higher detail, more frequent radar input and an advanced representation of clouds and winds. The HRRR model forecasts are run in high resolution every hour using the most recent observations with forecasts extending out 15 hours, allowing forecasters to better monitor rapidly developing and evolving localized storms. >> More
Lancé en 2009, le projet de recherche MUSCADE* a permis d'évaluer l'impact de différents scénarios d'évolution de la ville à l'échelle du siècle sur le climat urbain et la consommation énergétique des bâtiments. Coordonné par le Centre national de recherches météorologique (Météo-France/CNRS), MUSCADE réunit des météorologues, des économistes, des architectes, des géographes et des spécialistes du bâtiment. Ses résultats, qui apportent les éléments d'évaluation nécessaires aux concepteurs de la ville de demain, ont été rendus publics le 3 octobre.
Modéliser l'évolution de la ville .
Au sein du projet MUSCADE, le système ville, son évolution et les processus liés à l'énergie, sont simulés grâce à un modèle numérique. Pour représenter la ville future, des projections ont été construites en combinant des hypothèses climatiques et macroéconomiques (prix de l'énergie, croissance, démographie), mais également des hypothèses d'évolution du domaine urbain (ville étendue, compacte), des techniques de bâti (matériaux, réglementations) et de la production d'énergie décentralisée (technologies, choix d'implantation). >> Suite
Greg Clark, Minister for Universities, Science and Cities, is opening the UK's only dedicated space weather forecast centre today.
The centre is a key milestone in the protection of the UK economy and infrastructure from the real threat of severe space weather events. The Met Office Space Weather Centre, based at the Met Office's headquarters in Exeter, is the culmination of more than three years work to combine the space weather resources and scientific expertise of the UK and USA and was made possible by £4.6 million funding from Government.
It is operational 24/7 providing space weather forecasts and developing an early warning system aimed at protecting critical infrastructure from the impacts of space weather. >> More
A study published in Nature Geoscience today shows that air pollution has had a significant impact on the amount of water flowing through many rivers in the northern hemisphere.
The paper shows how such pollution, known as aerosols, can have an impact on the natural environment and highlights the importance of considering these factors in assessments of future climate change. The research resulted from a collaboration between scientists at the Met Office, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, University of Reading, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique in France, and the University of Exeter.Nicola Gedney, from the Met Office and lead author of the paper, said: "We detect the impact of solar dimming on enhanced river flows over regions in the heavily industrialised northern extra-tropics. We estimate that, in the most polluted central Europe river basin, this effect led to an increase in river flow of up to 25% when the aerosol levels were at their peak, around 1980. With water shortages likely to be one of the biggest impacts of climate change in the future, these findings are important in making projections for the future." >> More
Credit: Heikki Lihavainen
Researchers from the Finnish Meteorological Institute participate in an international expedition together with researchers from the University of Helsinki and The Energy and Resources Institute of India (TERI) in October 2014.
The expedition investigates the effect of air pollution on melting of the Pindari Glacier, situated in the Indian Himalayas. The expedition is funded by the Academy of Finland and National Geographic Society's Global Exploration Fund. The autumn's expedition is first of three, and a reference for the research conducted during expeditions in spring 2015 and 2016. >> More
The next-generation geostationary meteorological satellite of the Japan Meteorological Agency, Himawari-8, was successfully launched using H-IIA Launch Vehicle No. 25 at 5:16 UTC on 7 October 2014 from the Tanegashima Space Center in Kagoshima, Japan.
The satellite successfully separated from the launch vehicle about 28 minutes after lift-off, and will fly unaided for around 10 days before settling into geostationary orbit.>> More
Tropical Pacific Ocean ENSO indicators remain within the neutral range, having failed to maintain sustained values typical of El Niño. However, given the persistent warmth in the tropical Pacific Ocean, models continue to suggest an El Niño remains possible during the last quarter of 2014. Atmospheric indicators of El Niño have remained neutral over recent months. Tropical cloud patterns and trade winds have only had brief periods with El Niño-like values since May. Despite a recent drop into El Niño territory, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has returned to neutral values over the past fortnight. Model outlooks and current observations mean the Bureau’s El Niño WATCH remains in place, indicating double the normal chance (50%) of an El Niño over the coming months. While still falling short of El Niño thresholds, the tropical Pacific Ocean remains warmer than average. When combined with recent cool water to the north of Australia, conditions favour below-average rainfall over much of Australia for the remainder of 2014. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has returned to neutral recently after being consistently negative since June. Climate models surveyed by the Bureau indicate neutral conditions are very likely to remain during the last quarter of 2014. >> More
Credit: Scott Sandberg, NOAA
Chemicals released into the air by oil and gas exploration, extraction and related activities can spark reactions that lead to high levels of ozone in wintertime, high enough to exceed federal health standards, according to new NOAA-led research, published today in Nature.
The study comes at a time when new technologies are helping to accelerate oil and gas development in Utah’s Uintah Basin, elsewhere in the United States and in many other countries, and its findings may help air quality managers determine how to best minimize the impact of ozone pollution. When ozone levels spike, Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) experts recommend that people, especially those in sensitive groups — children, the elderly, and anyone with pre-existing respiratory conditions — limit time outdoors.>> More
A drier than normal October to December is more likely for broad areas of eastern Australia and parts of northwestern WA. Conversely a wetter than normal outlook is more likely for most of Tasmania. The October outlook suggests drier conditions are likely over much of central and eastern Australia. There are also strong odds for drier conditions over the northern coastal areas of WA. The October to December temperature outlooks are for warmer than normal days over most of Australia particularly in the far southeast, and warmer than normal nights with the exception of the northern tropical regions. Climate influences include warmer than normal temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean and a neutral Indian Ocean Dipole. >> More
The Met Office has announced the launch of its renewable energy services in Germany. Increasing uptake of its renewables offerings in targeted European countries is a key growth objective for the Met Office, which continues to increase its market share in the UK. The German market is set to see a dramatic shift towards offshore activity. According to the Global Wind Energy Council, by 2020 installed onshore wind capacity is predicted to increase by 40% to reach 45,000MW, whilst offshore capacity will increase by 1,460% to 6,000MW. The larger 6-8MW turbine capacities and higher wind speeds are a driving force in Germany's offshore wind farm construction and operations activity. According to a recent PricewaterhouseCoopers study, turnover across the whole offshore value chain, from planning and building to operations and maintenance, is expected to grow to €22.4m in 2021 from €5.9m in 2010, an increase of 280% in turnover in 10 years. >> More
Flooding in Piteå in Northern Sweden, July, 2014.Foto Anders Rehn
In recent times, abundant rainfall over southwestern Sweden has caused high water levels and flooding. An ongoing research project is developing flow forecasts which are better at capturing the effects of sudden downpours. It allows for better preparedness upon local, extreme water flows in the future. Intense precipitation, in the form of, for example, heavy rainfall, may cause very high water and flooding at a local level. Especially vulnerable are cities and areas that are bare and steep. Today, there is no system to warn of floods caused by extreme rainfall.- We need better descriptions of how powerful bursts rapidly affect the flow process. Especially because of the fact that extreme rainfall may increase in the future due to a warmer climate, says Jonas Olsson, researcher in hydrology at SMHI.A tool with more detailed information may provide a better basis for assessing the risk of extreme water flows.- We work with using radar observations in combination with station data and we evaluate and test how to use more detailed precipitation forecasts, says Jonas Olsson. We also adjust the receiving system called S-HYPE, which is used to make hydrological predictions, so that it is possible to forecast with short time intervals. >> More
More or less in sync with the calendar, summer seems* to be officially over in the Arctic.According to scientists from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, sea ice appears to have reached its smallest extent of the year on September 17, 2014. The annual minimum was 5.02 million square kilometers (1.94 million square miles), making it the sixth smallest extent in the satellite era, which began in 1979.The image at right shows the ice concentration on September 17, 2014. Areas where the surface was less than 15% ice covered are deep blue; places that were 100% ice covered are solid white. The orange line shows the 1981-2010 median extent for September 17. (Median means in the middle: half of the years in the record had smaller ice extents than this, and half had larger extents.) >> More
|Photo: Heikki Lihavainen|
Researchers from the Finnish Meteorological Institute participate in an international expedition together with researchers from the University of Helsinki and The Energy and Resources Institute of India (TERI) in October 2014. The expedition investigates the effect of air pollution on melting of the Pindari Glacier, situated in the Indian Himalayas. The expedition is funded by the Academy of Finland and National Geographic Society's Global Exploration Fund. The autumn's expedition is first of three, and a reference for the research conducted during expeditions in spring 2015 and 2016. The journey will first take the researchers via Delhi to Mukteshwar (2100 m. a.s.l.), where an air quality monitoring station founded by FMI and TERI is situated. The on-going measurements in Mukteshwar are checked, as these will be a reference for the measurements conducted at the Pindari Glacier. The expedition will continue by vehicles about 130 km north to Bageshwar (2000 m a.s.l.). The journey will be continued by foot together with porters along a tourist path for about four days up to the zero point of the Pindari Glacier (3900 m a.s.l.). Up at the glacier (4500 m a.s.l), the FMI researchers will install a weather station to collect weather observations 24/7. >> More
On Sep.15, China Meteorological Administration (CMA) Training Center held the third training class for disasters risk management of developing countries officers. There are total 14 officers of meteorological departments from Tajikistan, Pakistan, Nepal, Mongolia, Malaysia, Korea and other 11 developing countries to attended the training class. This training belongs to one of the training projects of CMA participating in WMO-VCP plan. It aims to make students to get deeper insight for meteorological disasters prevention and mitigation, improve the service capabilities, and accelerate the international cooperation. The training class will ended on September 26. >> More
The technicians of NMC introduced the usage of numerical weather prediction guidance in services and application of HIW forecasting techniques and the implementing conditions of environment monitoring and Asian dust forecast demonstration project. The 2 sides discussed the standard formulation and business process of environmental meteorological forecast and expected further cooperation and communication. The guests visited the forecasting platform of NMC and learned the conditions of information release of weather forecasting service and disaster prevention and warning system. This workshop aimed to communicate on weather forecast and public service in the framework of minute of the 12th session of China-ROK meteorological cooperation conference. >> More
Con respecto a la precipitación registrada a lo largo del año 2014 se observan los máximos en la región de Cuyo y norte de la Patagonia, donde ha llovido entre un 150% y más de 200% de la precipitación normal anual. En la provincia de Buenos Aires predominan valores entre el 80% y 100% de la precipitación normal anual en su región central y sur, mientras que en el este de la provincia ya se ha superado el 100%, superando la cantidad de lluvia esperada para todo el año.
Con respecto a las precipitaciones del mes de septiembre se observan los máximos en el litoral con valores de precipitación acumulada que superan los 150 milímetros, y en el noreste de la provincia de Buenos Aires. En este sentido se presenta a continuación un zoom de la provincia de Buenos Aires, donde se destaca el extremo de 154.1 milímetros registrados en el Observatorio Central Buenos Aires y los 130 milímetros en la estación de Dolores. Se observa que toda la región este y parte del centro de la provincia registró entre 75 y más de 100 milímetros de precipitación, mientras que el extremo noreste ha superado los 125 milímetros. En particular se destaca el valor de precipitación acumulada en el transcurso del mes en la estación San Fernando de 146.3 milímetros, el cual ha superado el récord mensual histórico para septiembre (San Fernando no posee de valor normal por no poseer información durante un período de tiempo suficientemente largo) >> Mas
Asunción, Paraguay, septiembre 17 de 2014. El Instituto de Hidrología, Meteorología y Estudios Ambientales (IDEAM), fue elegido como Vicepresidente del Grupo de Hidrología de Sudamérica ante la Organización Meteorológica Mundial (OMM). La designación se produjo en el marco de la Decimosexta Reunión de la Asociación Regional III (América del Sur), que se lleva a cabo en la ciudad de Asunción en Paraguay, y que es liderada por la OMM. El IDEAM en cabeza de su Director General, Omar Franco Torres, participa de este encuentro desde el pasado 15 de septiembre y con esta designación, el Instituto como punto focal de la OMM en Suramérica, hará parte de la Junta Directiva que determinará las directrices en materia hidrológica para los países miembros.Además el IDEAM participará en la elaboración del plan estratégico para los próximos cuatro años en temas de sistemas de observación, vigilancia meteorológica mundial, gestión del riesgo, variabilidad climática, meteorología aeronáutica y cambio climático entre otros. >> Mas
On Sep.22, the 44th China Study Tour and the Workshop on the implementation of Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) was held in Beijing. Zheng Guoguang, Administrator of China Meteorological Administration, Shen Xiaonong, Deputy Administrator of CMA, Ofa Fa'anunu, Vice President of RA-V, Filipe Lucio, Director of GFCS Office and Dr. Yinka Abedyao, Chief of WMO Education and Fellowships Division attended the opening ceremony and made the speech.
Zheng Guoguang expressed the welcome to the 44th China Study Tour. He said since the WCC-3 in 2009, China has seen substantial progress in the implementation of GFCS. China participated in the WCC-3 and the following Extraordinary Session of WMO Congress and IBCS' first session, actively engaged in the discussion leading to the establishment of GFCS governance structure and approval of implementation plan, and also contribute to the GFCS through cash contribution to GFCS Trust Fund and expert secondment. >> More
Août 2014 a été régionalement au Tessin le mois d’août le plus froid
de ces 30 dernières années. Pour les autres régions de Suisse, ce mois
d’août a été entre le deuxième et le quatrième le plus froid depuis 30
ans. L’ensoleillement a été particulièrement faible sur l’ensemble de
la Suisse. Au Tessin, le manque de soleil a à nouveau occasionné des
valeurs record. Le mois d’août le plus froid au Tessin depuis 30 ans
environ. Après un mois de juillet frais, pluvieux et peu ensoleillé,
août s’est également présenté comme peu estival. Les températures
moyennes journalières sont restées inférieures à la normale pendant
presque tout le mois. Au cours des périodes les plus fraîches, du 13
au 17 et du 20 au 25 août, les températures étaient entre 3 et 6
degrés inférieures à la norme 1981-2010, voire entre 5 et 7 degrés
inférieures en montagne. Seules 6 journées ont connu des températures journalières supérieures à la normale. Du 8 au 10 août, les températures journalières ont été entre 1 et 3 degrés au-dessus de la normale grâce à un courant du sud-ouest qui a dirigé de l’air chaud,
humide et instable, propice aux développements orageux. Dans les
régions à foehn, l’excédent thermique était parfois supérieure à 5
degrés. En revanche, au Sud des Alpes, les températures journalières
sont généralement restées inférieures à la normale au cours de ces 3
journées. Du 28 au 30 août, grâce à un bon ensoleillement, les
températures journalières sont parvenues à être entre 1 et 1.7 degré
au-dessus de la norme des deux côtés des Alpes.>> suite
Le volume 4 du rapport "Le climat de la France au 21e siècle" intitulé
« Scénarios régionalisés édition 2014 » a été remis samedi 6 septembre
à Ségolène Royal, Ministre de l'Ecologie, du Développement durable et
de l'Énergie. Ce rapport a été rédigé par des scientifiques de Météo-France, en collaboration avec des chercheurs français du CEA, du
CNRS, de l'UVSQ et de l'UPMC regroupés au sein de l'IPSL*, et du Cerfacs**, dans le cadre d'une mission confiée à Jean Jouzel par le
ministère du Développement durable. Il présente les scénarios de changement climatique en France jusqu'en 2100. Pour la première fois, ces projections sont également effectuées pour les outre-mer. Températures, précipitations, vent, en valeur moyenne et en valeur extrême : dans tous ces domaines, les résultats publiés, à la pointe des connaissances scientifiques actuelles, ont vocation à constituer les données de référence pour plusieurs années. En présentant des projections à moyen terme (2021-2050) et à long terme (2071-2100), le rapport permet de percevoir la progressivité des changements possibles tout en montrant les premiers impacts perceptibles.>> suite
Le mois d'août 2014 a été particulièrement frais et humide, avec un déficit d'ensoleillement sur de nombreuses régions. Le cumul des précipitations et la fraîcheur des températures ont contribué à une forte humidification des sols, sur la moitié nord du pays. Sur la période du 1er septembre 2013 - début de l'année hydrologique - à la fin août 2014, la quantité d'eau disponible pour l'écoulement et la recharge des nappes phréatiques est excédentaire de plus de 50% sur une large partie de la France, à l'exception du littoral du Roussillon à l'Hérault, qui lui présente un déficit de 50 à 75%. L'indice d'humidité des sols* dépasse quant à lui la normale sur les deux tiers nord de la France. Sur l'est du pays, après un début d'année particulièrement sec, les pluies et les températures fraîches de juillet et août ont largement contribué à humidifier les sols. Sur le tiers sud, cet indice est proche de la normale, voire légèrement déficitaire. Les sols sont particulièrement secs en Corse avec un déficit qui dépasse 80% sur le nord-ouest de l'île et localement sur le littoral est de la Corse-du-Sud. >> suite
This year has seen an exceptionally long heatwave, with temperatures
of more than 25°C being recorded by at least one weather station every
day since 6th June. The adverse health effects of the hot weather are
not yet known, but those most at risk are the chronically ill and
elderly people living either at home or in some form of residential care unit. Yesterday, 12th August, was still officially a hot day, but it's unlikely we'll experience the same degree of heat today, says the on duty weather forecaster at the Finnish Meteorological Institute.
Should the magic number of 25.1°C not be reached today, then the duration of the heatwave will come to a total of 38 days. Finland has only once before experienced a similar heatwave since records began in 1961. The heatwave in the summer of 1973 also lasted for 38 days. This year, the ground temperature reached at least 30°C on a total of 22 days. This is the most frequent since 1961. With regard to individual weather stations, the longest periods of continuous hot weather this summer were recorded at both Utti in the Kuovola region and Lepaa in the Hattula region, where 26 consecutive days of hot temperatures were recorded between 17th July and 11th August.>> More
The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) has announced its plans to
launch Himawari-8 on 7 October 2014 as a follow-on satellite to
MTSAT-2 (a.k.a.Himawari-7). Himawari-8 will be the world’s first
next-generation geostationary meteorological satellite, and will
feature a new imager with 16 bands as opposed to the 5 bands of the
current MTSAT series. Three of these will be visible bands corresponding to red, green and blue to enable the creation of true-color images. Full-disk imagery will be obtained every 10 minutes, and rapid scanning at 2.5-minute intervals will be conducted over several regions. The unit’s horizontal resolution will also be double that of the MTSAT series. These significant improvements will bring unprecedented levels of performance in monitoring for tropical cyclones, rapidly developing cumulonimbus clouds and volcanic ash clouds.>> More
La saison des pluies 2014 a été une période meurtrière en Côte d’Ivoire particulièrement dans la ville d’Abidjan où l’on rencontre le plus grand nombre de zones à risques liées aux inondations et glissement de terrain. Cette année, d’importants dégâts et pertes en vie humaines ont été enregistrés. Le bilan humain est lourd avec trente-trois (33) personnes décédées suite aux inondations. Débuté dans le mois de Mai, la saison des pluies a atteint son pic au début du mois de juin sur le Littoral Ivoirien et c’est dans ce mois que l’on a enregistré les diffèrent dégâts.
Nuit du mercredi 4 à jeudi 5 juin 2014 : six (6) morts: La forte pluie (84,9mm) qui s’est abattue sur la ville d’Abidjan, dans la nuit de jeudi a fait des dégâts humains et matériels dans la commune d’Attékoube. Une maison a cédé sous la pression des eaux de pluie entrainant la mort de quatre membres d’une même famille et deux (2) autres cas de décès ont été signalés. >> Suite
The Permanent Secretary of the Prime Minister’s Office Dr Florence Turuku (third from left), representative of the World Meteorological Organization in Eastern and Southern Africa Dr Ellijah Mukhala (Fourth from left) and Dr Agnes Kijazi the Director General of TMA (second from left) on a group photo during the extra ordinary TANDREC meeting held on 14th August 2014.
Tanzania Meteorological Agency in collaboration with the World Meteorological Organization and the Prime Minister’s Office held an extra ordinary meeting of the Tanzania national body for disaster relief Coordination (TANDREC) to discuss the implementation of the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) at the National level. The meeting was chaired by the Permanent Secretary, Prime Minister’s Office Dr Florence Turuku and the discussion was mainly on the development of National Framework for Climate Services and the linkage between the Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) structures in Tanzania with the GFCS. The meeting adopted two important recommendations; firstly, the existing DRR Platform saves as the National forum for sustained dialogue between users and providers of climate services in Tanzania. Secondly, TANDREC serves as the Steering Committee for the Development of National Framework for Climate Services. >> More
The Pacific Ocean has shown some renewed signs of El Niño development. Some warming has occurred in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean in the recent fortnight, due to a weakening of the trade winds. If the trade winds remain weak, more warming towards El Niño thresholds is possible.
The Bureau’s ENSO Tracker remains at WATCH status. This means the chance of an El Niño developing in 2014 is at least 50%, which is double the normal likelihood of an event. Five of the eight climate models surveyed by the Bureau suggest El Niño is likely for spring. However, if El Niño were to occur, it is unlikely to be a strong event. El Niño is often associated with below-average rainfall over southern and eastern inland areas of Australia and above-average daytime temperatures over southern Australia. Similar impacts regularly occur prior to the event becoming fully established. >> More
Long-term observational data indicated a decreasing trend for the amount of autumn precipitation (i.e. 54.3 mm per decade) over Mid-Eastern China, especially after the 1980s (~ 5.6% per decade). To examine the cause of the decreasing trend, the mechanisms associated with the change of autumn precipitation were investigated from the perspective of water vapor transportation, atmospheric stability and cloud microphysics.
Results show that the decrease of convective available potential energy (i.e. 12.81 J kg-1/ decade) and change of cloud microphysics, which were closely related to the increase of aerosol loading during the past twenty years, were the two primary factors responsible for the decrease of autumn precipitation. >> More
In 2011, the State Council issued a document which demanded to improve the work of meteorological disaster monitoring, warning and information release. The target was to strengthen this work by the Chinese Government, relevant departments and the whole society. This year marks the 3rd anniversary of this document.
The linkage mechanism of meteorological disaster warning information release:
In the provincial level, 31 provinces have established SMS release mechanism, 24 built warning signal radios and 25 built immediate insertion system in TV. Meanwhile, 29 ministries and commissions have established relevant inter-ministerial liaison meeting system. >> More
Depuis le début du mois de juillet, la France connaît un été globalement exceptionnellement arrosé. En juillet, de nombreux records mensuels de pluviométrie avaient été battus, aussi bien en termes de cumuls que de nombre de jours de pluie sur de nombreuses régions et particulièrement en Alsace, Auvergne, Rhône-Alpes et Franche-Comté. Les cumuls relevés sur l'hexagone au cours de la première décade d'août sont, eux aussi, remarquables.
Au 10 août, les quantités de pluie cumulées depuis le 1er juillet sont près de deux fois supérieures à la normale. Cela fait 55 ans que la période 1er juillet-10 août n'avait pas été aussi humide. >> Suite
IMD in collaboration with State Agricultural Universities, ICAR and other institutes is providing information on weather forecast and crop specific advisories on agricultural operations on every Tuesday and Friday. The advisory in regional language is disseminated through various modes of communications including mobile phones through SMS.
The advisory is sent to 3.4 million registered farmers through their cell phones in India. The farmers can get registered their mobile number through the respective Manager content of their area. >> More
During July 2014 summer, monsoon rainfall in Pakistan remain 39% below normal and for rest of the period during August and September, below normal trend is likely to continue.
The erratic behavior of current monsoon, due to prevailing EL Nino conditions is likely to continue in Pakistan. During the month of August and September, the monsoon rainfall in Pakistan is likely to remain by and large normal embedded with few extreme rainfall events during mid August to mid September. The northern parts may receive nearly normal rains during the period. While well below normal rains are expected in the southern parts of the country. >> More
El Cuerpo de Observadores de Meteorología del Estado, integrado en la Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) del Ministerio de Agricultura, Alimentación y Medio Ambiente, ha cumplido 40 años, desde que se puso en marcha en 1974 debido a la rápida expansión de la aviación civil.
Este avance hizo necesario aumentar de forma extraordinaria las necesidades de personal especializado en Meteorología, sobre todo para la realización de misiones técnicas auxiliares, a lo que se añadió un requerimiento de mayor grado de selección de profesionales técnicos.
Así, mediante una ley el 24 de julio de 1974, firmada por el entonces Príncipe Juan Carlos (que ocupaba de forma interina la Jefatura de Estado), y publicada en el BOE del 26 de julio, nació el antiguo Cuerpo Especial de Observadores de Meteorología, integrado en el entonces Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, cuyos servicios dependían del Ministerio del Aire con un personal con carácter de funcionarios civiles de la Administración Militar. >> Mas
Juillet 2014 a connu des records de précipitations, notamment sur la partie occidentale du pays. A la suite d’un temps souvent pluvieux sur le Bassin lémanique, en Valais, dans l’Oberland bernois, au Sud des Alpes et en Haute-Engadine, l’ensoleillement n’a jamais été aussi faible pour un mois de juillet. Au niveau national, les températures ont été 0.9 degré au-dessous de la norme 1981-2010.
L’automne en été - Au lieu d’avoir un temps estival propice à la baignade, juillet a démarré avec des bancs de brouillard et de stratus chaque matin sur le Plateau. Les températures minimales des 3 premiers jours du mois étaient comprises entre 6 et 14 degrés. A Aardorf-Tänikon/TG, une température minimale de 5.5 degrés a été mesurée, soit la valeur la plus basse pour un mois de juillet depuis 10 ans au moins. >> Suite
Upper Thailand (Northern, Northeastern, Central and Eastern parts of Thailand): During August until September: The southwest monsoon still prevails over Thailand with being active from time to time; additionally, a monsoon trough places over the upper Thailand in some periods. This characteristic will bring about abundant rain over the upper Thailand; scattered to almost widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy rains in some areas.
Thus, flash floods, flooding situations and over-flows occur in some areas. Winds and waves in the Gulf of Thailand around the eastern coast will be rough with 2 – 4 meters high in some periods. Afterwards, high pressure air masses from China prevailing over Northern and Northeastern parts periodically cause to reduce the amount of rainfall and rainfall distribution around upper Thailand, then starting to have cold air in the morning, especially the upper of Northern and Northeastern Thailand. >> More
Marine debris found on Seal Beach, Orange County, California. (Credit:NOAA)
Southern California residents lose millions of dollars each year avoiding littered, local beaches in favor of choosing cleaner beaches that are farther away and may cost more to reach, according to a new NOAA-funded Marine Debris Program economics study.
Reducing marine debris even by 25 percent at beaches in and near California’s Orange County could save residents roughly $32 million during three months in the summer by not having to travel longer distances to other beaches.
The study, led by Cambridge, Massachusetts-based Industrial Economics Inc., known as IEc, is the first of its kind to look at how marine debris influences decisions to go to the beach and what it may cost. >> More
The 16th session of WMO Commission on Instruments and Methods of Observations (CIMO) began its work in St. Petersburg on July 10. Official delegations of WMO members take part in work of session. Delegation of the Russian Federation consists of leading experts from research institutes of Roshydromet.
The wide range of issues tied to meteorological observations will be comprehensively considered and discussed at plenary sessions of CIMO. Among these issues there are discussion on the updated Guidelines of CIMO which is the basic document of WMO on the organization and production of different types of observation. >> More
According to the Russian Federal Space Program 2006-2015, it was built by JSC “VNIIEM Corporation” and launched at 19:58 Moscow time, on July 8th, from Baikonur, Kazakhstan.
The satellite has been launched to a sun-synchronous orbit (820 km, equator crossing time ~9h:30 min, inclination 98,79).
The main objective of Meteor-M N2 mission is to provide global observations of the Earth’s surface and the atmosphere. >> More
ESSO-India Meteorological Department (IMD) issues the operational long range forecasts for the southwest monsoon season (June-September) rainfall over the country as a whole in two stages; in April and in June. The first stage forecast issued on 24th April, 2014 has been updated and salient features of latest forecast issued on 9th June, 2104 are as follows:
La Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) dependiente del Ministerio de Agricultura, Alimentación y Medio Ambiente, ha contribuido, junto a la Organización Meteorológica Mundial (OMM) y a los países del Mediterráneo, a la puesta en marcha del foro MedCOF (Mediterranean Climate Outlook Forum) cuya última acción ha sido la generación de una predicción probabilística consensuada de temperatura y precipitación de la estación estival (junio, julio y agosto) para toda la región del Mediterráneo.
MedCOF es uno de los Foros Regionales sobre la Evolución Probable del Clima. Estos foros tienen como objetivo inicial reunir periódicamente a expertos de una región climatológicamente homogénea –en este caso, la región mediterránea- para generar una predicción consensuada generalmente de alcance estacional.
Esta última reunión ha tenido como novedad que se que ha realizado online durante dos semanas de mayo utilizando la página ( http://medcof.aemet.es) y el foro diseñado por AEMET para este propósito. El producto final ha sido una predicción estacional consensuada entre los 33 países que integran el MedCOF y para toda la región con la ventaja de haberse realizado de un modo más sostenible. >> Mas
Pakistan Summer Monsoon Season spans over July to September. As a routine practice, Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) issues the Monsoon Outlook around mid June incorporating the dynamics of local, regional and global meteorological parameters up to the end of May each year. However, South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-5) designated by World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has already issued Consensus Statement. Outlook made by this forum and preliminary outlook of PMD are presented below:
South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF-5) - The outlook suggests that below normal to normal rainfall is most likely over South Asia as a whole. Below normal rainfall is likely over broad areas of western, Central and Southern parts of the South Asia and some areas in the northeastern-most parts of the region. Normal rainfall is likely over broad areas of northwestern and eastern parts and some island areas in the southern most part of the region. It is noteworthy that no part of the South Asia is likely to receive above normal rainfall.
Preliminary Monsoon Outlook by PMD - The emerging climatic features linked to El-Nino development have fairly large potential to suppress Pakistan Summer Monsoon 2014. According to the preliminary estimates of PMD, the amount of rainfall from July to September may be moderately below normal in Sindh, Balochistan and Southern Punjab while nearly normal rainfall is expected in North Punjab, KP, GB and Kashmir. >> More
The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) operates a three-dimensional greenhouse gas observation network covering the Japanese archipelago and other parts of the northwestern Pacific (Fig 1). Precise measurement data obtained from the network show levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration in the region exceeding the significant level of 400 parts per million (ppm, by volume).
Ground stations - Monthly averages of in situ CO2 concentration for April 2014 and annual averages for 2013 at three ground stations operated by JMA all showed record highs as listed in Table 1 (see also Figs. 2.1, 2.2 and 2.3). These stations are located at Ogasawara Village on Tokyo’s Minamitorishima (Marcus Island), Ryori in Iwate Prefecture and Yonagunijima in Okinawa Prefecture. The Minamitorishima facility is registered as one of 29 Global Stations of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) Programme, and the others are GAW Regional Stations. >> More
The Bureau of Meteorology has marked National Reconciliation Week by launching a new seasonal calendar, sharing the traditional knowledge of the Maung people of South Goulburn Island, located approximately 300 kilometres east of Darwin, off the north coast of the Northern Territory. The Maung Seasonal Calendar is the tenth Seasonal Calendar hosted on the Bureau's website as part of its Indigenous Weather Knowledge project. Bureau of Meteorology Director, Dr Rob Vertessy,said the incorporation of traditional weather knowledge into our understanding of weather and climate has effectively provided us with a history dating back thousands of years, complementing more than a hundred years of the Bureau's own climate records. >> More
Durante el transcurso del mes de mayo de 2014 se observó la ocurrencia de importantes valores de precipitaciones aisladas en el territorio nacional. Las lluvias más destacadas tuvieron lugar especialmente entre los días 20 y 22, así como en los dos últimos días del mes con la ocurrencia de tormentas de variada intensidad, que en algunos casos estuvieron acompañadas por vientos de hasta 50 km/h. Los valores de precipitación han superado el valor normal del mes en numerosas localidades del país. En el mapa se presentan las precipitaciones acumuladas durante el transcurso del mes de mayo.
Se observan los mayores valores de precipitación del orden de los 200-250 milímetros en Misiones, con un máximo de 264 mm en Oberá, y superiores a 125 mm al noreste de la provincia de Chaco. También se ubica un máximo muy localizado en el extremo noreste de Buenos Aires, sobre las estaciones de Aeroparque >> Mas
ICAO Secretary General Raymond Benjamin (second left) listening with admiration to The Acting manager for aviation meteorological services Mr. John Mayunga (left) explaining the work and progress made in provision of quality Aviation Meteorological services by TMA. Benjamin arrived in the country last week to make a follow-up on efforts of contracting states in meeting their obligations under the Chicago Convention for the safe operations of international civil aviations.
TMA has recently automated delivery of aviation meteorological services as a continuous process in providing quality services to its clients in line with the Quality Management System (QMS) policy. TMA is among the pioneers in the provision of quality service (ISO: 9001:2008) certified by the International Standard Organization. TMA became ISO Certified in provision of Aviation Meteorological Services since 2011.
The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) operates a three-dimensional greenhouse gas observation network covering the Japanese archipelago and other parts of the northwestern Pacific (Fig 1). Precise measurement data obtained from the network show levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration in the region exceeding the significant level of 400 parts per million (ppm, by volume).
Ground stations - Monthly averages of in situ CO2 concentration for April 2014 and annual averages for 2013 at three ground stations operated by JMA all showed record highs as listed in Table 1 (see also Figs. 2.1, 2.2 and 2.3). These stations are located at Ogasawara Village on Tokyo’s Minamitorishima (Marcus Island), Ryori in Iwate Prefecture and Yonagunijima in Okinawa Prefecture. The Minamitorishima facility is registered as one of 29 Global Stations of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) Programme, and the others are GAW Regional Stations. >> More
Suomi NPP satellite image shows Hurricane Manuel near peak intensity on Sept. 19, 2013, before its second landfall on western Mexico. (Credit:(Credit:NOAA/NASA)
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center announced today that a near-normal or above-normal hurricane season is likely for the Eastern Pacific this year. The outlook calls for a 50 percent chance of an above-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and a 10 percent chance of a below normal season. Seasonal hurricane forecasters are calling for a 70 percent chance of 14 to 20 named storms, which includes 7 to 11 hurricanes, of which 3 to 6 are expected to become major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale).
An average Eastern Pacific hurricane season produces 15 named storms, with eight becoming hurricanes and four becoming major hurricanes. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15 through Nov. 30, with peak activity from July through September.>> More
2014 Atlantic hurricane outlook (Credit:NOAA)
El Niño expected to develop and suppress the number and intensity of tropical cyclones. In its 2014 Atlantic hurricane season outlook issued today, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting a near-normal or below-normal season.
The main driver of this year’s outlook is the anticipated development of El Niño this summer. El Niño causes stronger wind shear, which reduces the number and intensity of tropical storms and hurricanes. El Niño can also strengthen the trade winds and increase the atmospheric stability across the tropical Atlantic, making it more difficult for cloud systems coming off of Africa to intensify into tropical storms.
The outlook calls for a 50 percent chance of a below-normal season, a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of an above-normal season. For the six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, NOAA predicts a 70 percent likelihood of 8 to 13 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 3 to 6 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 1 to 2 major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher). >> More
Radar météo Pointe de la Plaine Morte (VS) en service.- MeteoSuisse.
L'Office fédéral de météorologie et de climatologie MétéoSuisse met en service aujourd'hui le nouveau radar météorologique de la Pointe de la Plaine Morte (2900 m d'altitude), dans le canton du Valais. La quatrième installation que compte la Suisse complète le réseau de radars de manière optimale. Elle permet de recenser avec plus de précision encore les précipitations qui tombent dans les vallées alpines.
Tout récemment, l'Office fédéral des constructions et de la logistique (OFCL) a également lancé les travaux de construction du cinquième radar météorologique pour le compte de MétéoSuisse. Cette nouvelle installation se trouve sur le Weissfluh, dans le canton des Grisons. >> Suite
Nueva estación meteorológica en Jaén.
La Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET), dependiente del Ministerio de Agricultura, Alimentación y Medio Ambiente, ha instalado una estación meteorológica en el Centro Penitenciario de Jaén con el objetivo de que, además de cumplir su función como receptora de datos meteorológicos, contribuya como un elemento más a la integración social de los internos.
La acción partió de una iniciativa conjunta de la asociación de aficionados a la meteorología, AMETSE, la Delegación Diocesana de Pastoral Penitenciaria de Jaén, que además solicitó a AEMET convertirse en un colaborador más de entre los más de 3.000 voluntarios con los que la Agencia cuenta en todo el territorio nacional, y también de la dirección del Centro Penitenciario que autorizó la instalación de la estación meteorológica en su recinto. >> Más
The monsoon 2014 outlook for predicted precipitation of Pakistan shows that below normal to normal precipitation is most likely in the country. There may be 10 to 20 percent below normal rainfall in the core monsoon region i.e. central to northern Punjab, Azad Jammu and Kashmir and central parts of Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa and coastal areas of Sindh and Baluchistan provinces. Northern parts of Khyber Pakhtoonkhwa, Gilgit Baltistan, central to western parts of Baluchistan and some adjoining areas of Sindh are expected to get normal rainfall during the monsoon season. >> More
Day breaks. An image from Meteosat-10.
Iceland has joined EUMETSAT as its latest Member State, less than half a year after the signature of the accession agreement last autumn. This brings EUMETSAT very close to achieving the goal of 30 Member States in 2014, as says in a news release 22 January.
As a Member State, Iceland is fully involved in the strategic decisions of EUMETSAT's ruling Council. Also, its industry will be able to bid for contracts, and Icelandic nationals can become staff members, in addition to Iceland obtaining unlimited access to all EUMETSAT data and products. Accession to EUMETSAT will improve Iceland‘s forecasting capabilities, bringing significant benefits for key industries such as
fisheries, agriculture and tourism, enhancing public safety and supporting other important areas such as road construction, research and education; according to Sigurður Ingi Jóhannsson, Minister for Environment and Natural Resources of Iceland. >> More
On May 23, CMA Department of Forecasting and Networking organized a seminar to discuss the developing strategy of weather and climate forecasting model. Relevant units introduced the developing conditions and future plans of European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Met Office and exchanged views on the developing conditions, challenges and future demand of China’s weather and climate forecasting model.
Deputy Administrators of CMA Xu Xiaofeng and Jiao Meiyan, Academician of Chinese Academy of Sciences Zhou Xiuji and Academicians of Chinese Academy of Engineering Ding Yihui and Song Junqiang and other experts participated in the seminar.
The experts gave many suggestions on the development of China’s weather and climate forecasting model. They pointed out to intensity independent innovation, assessment of relevant techniques and the construction of scientific organization system. >> More
Typhoon Francisco and Super Typhoon Lekima on October 23, 2013 as they tracked northwestward toward China and Japan. (Credit: Tim Olander and Rick Kohrs, SSEC/CIMSS/UW-Madison, based on Japan Meteorological Agency data.)
Researchers find that the average latitude where tropical cyclones achieve maximum intensity has been shifting poleward since 1980.
Over the past 30 years, the location where tropical cyclones reach maximum intensity has been shifting toward the poles in both the northern and southern hemispheres at a rate of about 35 miles, or one-half a degree of latitude, per decade according to a new study, The Poleward Migration of the Location of Tropical Cyclone Maximum Intensity, published tomorrow in Nature. As tropical cyclones move into higher latitudes, some regions closer to the equator may experience reduced risk, while coastal populations and infrastructure poleward of the tropics may experience increased risk. With their devastating winds and flooding, tropical cyclones can especially endanger coastal cities not adequately prepared for them.
Additionally, regions in the tropics that depend on cyclones' rainfall to help replenish water resources may be at risk for lower water availability as the storms migrate away from them. >> More
Dr. Richard W. Spinrad, NOAA’s Chief Scientist. (Credit: Oregon State University)
Yesterday, the Obama Administration named Dr. Richard W. Spinrad as NOAA’s Chief Scientist. An internationally recognized scientist and executive with more than 30 years of experience, Dr. Spinrad will be the senior scientist for the agency, driving policy and program direction for science and technology priorities. Until this appointment, Dr. Spinrad served as vice president for research at Oregon State University (OSU) in Corvallis, Oregon, and from 2005 until 2010, was the head of NOAA’s Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research and the head of the National Ocean Service.“I’m pleased to welcome Rick back to NOAA,” said Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, NOAA administrator. “His decades-long service in the earth sciences as well as management expertise will be a great addition to our senior leadership team. As we continue to strive to provide environmental intelligence to communities across the country, Rick will oversee a tremendously diverse science and research portfolio ranging from fisheries biology to climate change to satellite instrumentation and marine biodiversity.” >> More
In summer 2014, mean temperatures are expected to be either near or below normal (both with 40% probability) in northern Japan and either near or above normal (both with 40% probability) in western Japan and Okinawa/Amami. Total summer precipitation amounts are expected to be either near or above normal (both with 40% probability) in northern Japan, and either near or below normal (both with 40% probability) in western Japan. 1. Outlook summary JMA issued its outlook for the coming summer over Japan in February and updated it in March and April. In summer (June – August) 2014, mean temperatures are expected to be either near or below normal (both with 40% probability) in northern Japan, and either near or above normal (both with 40% probability) in western Japan and Okinawa/Amami. Summer total precipitation amounts are expected to be either near or above normal (both with 40% probability) in northern Japan, and either near or below normal (both with 40% probability) in western Japan (Figure 8). Rainy season (Baiu) precipitation amounts are unlikely to exhibit particular characteristics in any region. 2. Outlook background JMA’s coupled global circulation model predicts that the NINO.3 SST will transition from near to above normal in summer. In conclusion, although the continuation of ENSO-neutral conditions may be possible considering the large uncertainties of the model’s prediction, it is more likely that El Niño conditions will develop. >> More
The rainy season of Thailand this year is expected to begin lately than usual, about at the 3rd – 4th week of May. The summarized rain is expected to be less than normal and less than that of last year’s, especially at the beginning of the rainy season. However, during the end of the rainy season, many areas of the upper Thailand will have the amount of rainfall being near the normal. General Weather Characteristics: About at the end of May until June: Southwest monsoon will be prevalent covering the Andaman Sea and Thailand by being rather active in some periods. Additionally, a monsoon trough will place over the upper Thailand from time to time. These will cause the upper Thailand to have abundant rainfall with heavy rains in some areas. About at the end of June until middle July: The monsoon trough placing over the upper Thailand will move upward to place over southern China causing many areas of Thailand to have not much rainfall during this beginning of the rainy season. Thus, shortage of water for agriculture happens in many areas, especially often at drought areas outside irrigation zones. >> More
Le Conseil fédéral veut mettre à disposition totalement gratuitement les données et informations météorologiques et climatologiques, espérant que cette mesure entraînera une progression de leur utilisation et offrira de nouvelles opportunités en termes d'innovation. La procédure de consultation relative au projet de révision partielle de la loi sur la météorologie et la climatologie (LMét), nécessaire à cet égard, a été ouverte aujourd'hui et durera jusqu'au 19 septembre 2014. En 2012, la Commission de l'environnement, de l'aménagement du territoire et de l'énergie du Conseil national (CEATE-N) déposait une motion chargeant le Conseil fédéral de créer le cadre légal permettant de donner libre accès aux données météorologiques. Ce projet appelant une révision partielle de la loi sur la météorologie et la climatologie (LMét), le Conseil fédéral a ouvert ce jour la procédure de consultation ad hoc. >> Suite
Schematic representation of sea ice retreat, enhanced surface evaporation from the open ocean and the increase in Arctic precipitation (KNMI)
Retreating sea ice resulting from global warming will lead to a strong increase in Arctic precipitation. Climate models project that this increase will be as much as 60 percent.
According to Richard Bintanja and Frank Selten, both climate scientists at the KNMI, most of the increase can be attributed to local evaporation. Model results show that sea ice retreat will lead to a strong increase in surface evaporation, possibly even a threefold increase. Until now scientists thought that moisture inflow from lower latitudes was the main cause of the precipitation increase, but this new finding demonstrates that the increase in evaporation associated with sea ice retreat is the most important factor. >> More
Après des mois de janvier et février exceptionnellement pluvieux, les mois de mars et avril 2014 ont été généralement peu arrosés pour la
saison. Le déficit est particulièrement marqué dans le nord-est du pays, avec quasiment aucune précipitation depuis le début du mois de mars.
Les cumuls y sont déficitaires de 25 à 50 %, voire de plus de 75 % de la Champagne à la Lorraine et aux Vosges. En Alsace, le déficit pluviométrique a été record au mois de mars. >> Suite
Fig 1. Probabilistic MME forecast from WMOLC LRF: 2m Temperaturea
The Qatar Meteorological Department is introducing monthly and seasonal (3-month) climate outlooks for Qatar and adjoining regions, beginning April 2014. Monthly and seasonal climate forecasts are generated world wide with an underlying assumption that sea surface temperatures in global oceans, snow-cover, soil-moisture of the land surface and other such slowly varying boundary conditions determine the ensuing global and regional climate anomalies.
Leading climate centers around the world use fully coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation models for generating seasonal climate forecasts wherein both sea surface temperatures and associated atmospheric circulation co-evolve. Climate forecasts are generally in the form of anomalies from a long-term climatology as simulated in the models. Individualn climate centers produce monthly/seasonal forecasts based on a large suite of simulations (generally initiated every month and extending 6 months in to the future) with different initial conditions using their global climate model and then develop an ensemble forecast product employing advanced statistical technique. >> More
On May 8, China Meteorological Administration held the second meeting to boost the development national-level meteorological modernization. Zheng Guoguang, Administrator of CMA and Deputy Administrator Xu Xiaofeng and Yu Rucong attended the meeting.
Dr. Zheng says the national-level meteorological modernization was very important and instant. The relevant policies, subjects to liability, key targets and promoting ways should be introduced and defined. He points out that the main units should improve the awareness of taking responsibilities, enhance cooperation and coordination, strengthen the technological innovation and deepen the reform, transfer functions and provide powerful supports, and further define the targets of national-level meteorological modernization.
(May 9 ). >> More
A major upgrade to the Bureau of Meteorology’s forecast and warning system has been awarded a prestigious international award in Geneva overnight. The Next Generation Forecast and Warning System (NexGenFWS) has enabled a leap forward in the delivery of services. Seven day forecasts are now available for 650 locations in Australia, a level of service previously only available in capital cities, and a web-based viewer allows people to generate a forecast for a specific location.
The project was named recipient of a ‘Geospatial Technology Innovation Award’ at the Geospatial World Awards held in Geneva. Bureau of Meteorology Director, Dr Rob Vertessy, said the award is a credit to the work of many Bureau staff who contributed their expertise to the NexGenFWS project since it began in 2009. "This award is one of the most prominent peer-reviewed awards in the geospatial industry and recognises the innovative use of geospatial technology," Dr Vertessy said. >> More
The National Climate Assessment provides information about climate change impacts on all major regions of the United States and critical sectors of society
Today, the Obama Administration unveiled the Third U.S. National Climate Assessment. This report confirms that climate change is affecting Americans in every region of the U.S. and key sectors of the national economy.
Certain types of extreme weather events with links to climate change have become more frequent and/or intense, including prolonged periods of heat, heavy downpours, and in some regions, floods and droughts. In addition, warming is causing sea level to rise and glaciers and Arctic sea ice to melt, and oceans are becoming more acidic as they absorb carbon dioxide. These and other aspects of climate change are disrupting people's lives and damaging some sectors of our economy. >> More
The Awards ceremony of finalists of the All-Russian National Youth Water Competition-2014 took place in the assembly hall of the Ministry of natural resources and ecology on April, 25.
The winners of the previous regional stages of the Competition took part in the final stage of the All-Russian Youth Water Competition-2014 in Moscow on April, 20-25.
The Awards ceremony of finalists of Competition took place in the assembly hall of the Ministry of natural resources and ecology on April, 25. At the Ceremony Head of Roshydromet Alexander Frolov greeted all participants — young researchers and their research supervisors. Alexander Frolov noted relevance, importance and the high level of the presented projects. He wished them new success and expressed confidence that many children would continue education in higher educational institutions where experts for Roshydromet are trained. Alexander Frolov thanked organizers of competition for giving to the young generation such fine opportunity to study the water resources of Russia, and also for sharing the experience and communication with each other. >> More
Temperaturas medias semana santa
25/04/2014 El aspecto más sobresaliente de la Semana Santa pasada es lo elevado de las temperaturas, especialmente en Península y Baleares,
donde tanto las temperaturas medias como las máximas han sido las más elevadas desde 1971, para el período comprendido entre el 13 y el 21 de abril. Las precipitaciones se concentraron fundamentalmente en los últimos días, respetando Jueves Santo y Viernes Santo que, junto con el Domingo de Ramos, fueron los días de menor precipitación. (ANÁLISIS COMPLETO EN PDF A PIE DE PÁGINA) TEMPERATURAS
Para el conjunto de la Península y Baleares ha sido el año más cálido desde 1971, con una temperatura media de 16.64ºC, superando a 1986 que con 16.03ºC ocupa el segundo lugar y a 2011, que es el tercero con una media de 15.86ºC. En Canarias las temperaturas, aunque en términos absolutos son más elevadas con medias entre 20 ºC y 22ºC en zonas costeras, presentan anomalías más bajas, +1.7ºC en Gran Canaria y +0.8ºC en Santa Cruz de Tenerife. >> Mas
État : 29 avril 2014 - Le mois d’avril 2014 a été nettement trop doux dans toute la Suisse
avec un ensoleillement au-dessus de la norme 1981-2010, notamment sur le Plateau. Les quantités de précipitations sont restées légèrement en dessous de la norme sur le Plateau, plus franchement dans le Sud et en Engadine. Seul le sud du Valais et très ponctuellement l’ouest de la Suisse ainsi que le versant nord des Alpes ont enregistré des cumuls supérieurs à la moyenne. Première quinzaine extrêmement douce et ensoleillée Les premiers 14 jours se sont montrés continuellement doux. Les températures moyennes journalières ont dépassé plusieurs fois de 5 à 7 degrés la norme 1981-2010. A Altdorf,
dans la journée du 3 avril, le foehn a propulsé la moyenne journalière à plus de 10 degrés au-dessus de la norme. La température s’est maintenue proche de 16 degrés même durant la nuit, pour venir flirter avec les 19 degrés en cours de journée. La première partie du mois s’est montrée généralement ensoleillée.
Toutefois, une importante nébulosité a traversé la Suisse du 3 au 5 avril. Durant ces journée, une grande quantité de poussière du Sahara a à nouveau été observée dans nos régions. En effet, en février déjà, une masse
d’air fortement chargée en poussière avait été entraînée vers l’Europe centrale et la Suisse. Le soleil s’est également montré discret dans la journée du 8 avril en raison du passage du premier front orageux sur le Nord des Alpes.>> More
Rainfall Outlook Map March - May 2014
The Eastern Province ( Bugesera, Ngoma, Kirehe, Kayonza, Gatsibo, Nyagatare and Rwamagana districts) , Kigali City ( Kicukiro, Gasabo and Nyarugenge districts) and some parts of the Southern Province (Kamonyi, Muhanga, Ruhango, Nyanza, Gisagara and Nyaruguru districts ) are expected to have a near normal rainfall season with tendency to
below normal. The Western Province (Rusizi, Nyamasheke, Karongi, Ngororero, Rutsiro, Nyabihu and Rubavu districts), some parts of the Southern Province (Nyamagabe district) and Northern Province (Gicumbi, Gakenke, Rurindo, Burera and Musanze districts ) are expected to have near normal to above normal rainfall.The rainfall distribution is divided into three categories which are: above normal, normal and
below normal according to the range of rainfall amounts: >400 mm; 300 -400 mm and <300mm respectively. >> More
During the second ten days of April 2014, the main rain belt was over East Africa signalling the end of the main rainfall season in Malawi. As a result below average cumulative rainfall and dry weather prevailed over most parts of Malawi except for very few places over highlands and along the lakeshore. A few places that had registered significant cumulative rainfall amounts in excess of 100mm were confined to northern Malawi and had included Chintheche Agric 207mm, Chikangawa Forest 207mm, Mzuzu Airport 187mm and Nkhata Bay Met 156mm For more details refer to Table 1 Map 2 shows the cumulative rainfall performance across the country since the the start of rainfall season in October 2013 up to 20th April 2014.The map shows that most areas in Malawi have recorded average cumulative rainfall amounts (green colour on Map 2) with a few pockets of below average cumulative rain fall (yellow colour) particularly in Balaka and Chikwawa districts in southern Malawi. For more details refer to Table 1 and Map 2. >> More
Évolution des températures moyennes minimales et maximales quotidiennes en France
Depuis le début de l'année 2014, notre pays a bénéficié d'une grande douceur. Le thermomètre a encore affiché des valeurs supérieures à la normale* sur l'ensemble du pays durant la quasi-totalité du mois. Les températures maximales ont été, le plus souvent, supérieures à la normale de plus de 2 °C, voire localement de plus de 3 °C sur le flanc est et le Massif central. Moyennées sur la France, les températures devraient être supérieures aux normales de près de 2 °C, plaçant, sur la période 1900-2014, ce mois d'avril parmi les plus doux avec 2007, 2011, 1945 et 1961.
Les précipitations ont été très déficitaires sur la quasi-totalité du pays, excepté sur la Basse-Normandie ainsi que des Hautes-Pyrénées au Roussillon. Le déficit devrait dépasser 60 % dans le Nord-Est, et souvent 70 % de la Champagne-Ardenne à la Lorraine ainsi que sur la Côte d'Azur. En moyenne sur la France, les précipitations devraient présenter un déficit de près de 40 %. L'ensoleillement a été généreux sur une grande partie du pays, particulièrement du nord de l'Aquitaine à la Loire-Atlantique, ainsi que de l'Auvergne au Nord-Est où l'excédent devrait dépasser de 20 % la normale**. En revanche, l'ensoleillement a été plus proche des valeurs saisonnières sur le Nord-Ouest, le pourtour méditerranéen et la Corse.>> More
The likelihood of El Niño remains high, with all climate models surveyed by the Bureau now indicating El Niño is likely to occur in 2014. Six of the seven models suggest El Niño thresholds may be exceeded as early as July.
The Pacific Ocean has been warming along the equator over recent weeks, with continued warming in the central Pacific likely in coming months. Another burst of westerly winds is presently occurring in the western Pacific, and is likely to cause further warming of the sub-surface.
El Niño has an impact across much of the world, including below average rainfall in the western Pacific and Indonesian regions, and increased rainfall in the central and eastern Pacific. For Australia, El Niño is usually associated with below average rainfall, with about two thirds of El Niño events since 1900 resulting in major drought over large areas of Australia.>> More
ESSO-India Meteorological Department (IMD) issues various monthly and seasonal operational forecasts for rainfall during the southwest monsoon season. Operational models are critically reviewed regularly and further improved through in- house research activities. Operational forecasts for the southwest monsoon season (June – September) rainfall are issued in two stages. The first stage forecast is issued in April and the second stage forecast is issued in June.
(a) Quantitatively, the monsoon seasonal rainfall is likely to be 95% of the Long Period Average (LPA) with a model error of ± 5%. The LPA of the season rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1951-2000 is 89 cm.
(b) The 5 category probability forecasts for the Seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is given below:
ESSO-IMD will issue the update forecasts in June, 2014 as a part of the second stage forecast. Along with the update forecast, separate forecasts for the monthly (July and August) rainfall over the country as a whole and seasonal (June-September) rainfall over the four geographical regions of India will also be issued. >> More
In recent days, Hong Kong Observatory has extended weather forecast from 7 days to 9 days. According to Cheng Cho-ming, Assistant Director of Hong Kong Observatory, the accuracy of weather forecast would reduce with the extension of the forecasting days. Currently, the mean accuracy rate of their 1 to 3-day forecast is 90%, 4 to 7-day forecast, 85% and the new 8 to 9-day forecast, 80%.
Cheng said that although the accuracy rate of 8 to 9-day forecast was lower than the forecast before 7 days, it marked that Hong Kong Observatory has developed and promoted the weather forecasting quality with the extension of forecast days. The goal was to meet the needs of local residents. They could get weather forecast earlier, make preparations for activities and take measures for preventing disastrous weather.
According to Mr. Chun Chi-ming, Director of Hong Kong Observatory, local people could check weather forecast of the coming 9 days from the website of the observatory.>> More
Jiao Meiyan met with Alan Thorpe, director of ECMWF
From April 23 to 24, China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and European Centre For Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) held a bilateral meeting in Reading, United Kingdom. Jiao Meiyan, Deputy Administrator of CMA attended the meeting, which hosted by Alan Thorpe, director of ECMWF.
The two sides shared the development strategy and latest developments of numerical forecast, and confirmed the cooperation programme on six aspects including in 4D variation and data assimilation, diagnosis of global model deviation, sub-seasonal to seasonal climate prediction, satellite data preprocessing and assimilation. They will develop the cooperation by the methods of experts communication, visit or holding seminar.>> More
|Noritake Nishide,Director-General of JMA|
Noritake Nishide, the newly appointed Director-General of the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), serves as Permanent Representative of Japan with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
Mr. Nishide holds an MSc (1979) from the University of Tokyo. Prior to his appointment as JMA's Director-General, he served as Director-General of the Forecast Department (2011 - 2014), Director-General of the Seismology and Volcanology Department (2010 - 2011) and Director-General of the Fukuoka Regional Headquarters (2009 - 2010) at JMA.
After joining JMA in 1979, Mr. Nishide worked extensively in seismological and volcanological services with particular focus on the monitoring of earthquakes, tsunami and volcanic activity. >> More
Rabu(26/3), Kepala Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan BMKG, Dr.Edvin Aldrian menyampaikan gagasannya seputar Climate System dan perkembangannya dalam dunia internasional sekaligus membuka acara Jurnal Club Puslitbang di auditorium kantor pusat BMKG.
Pada kesempatan yang sama, Edvin juga menjelaskan secara singkat perjalanan iklim di Indonesia. Seperti pernah di jelaskan sebelumnya bahwa Indonesia melalui BMKG berperan aktif dalam mendukung kegiatan International Panel Climate Change (IPCC), yaitu sebuah Badan Internasional yang didirikan oleh United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) dan World Meteorological Organization (WMO) yang di buat sebagai wadah pertemuan internasional yang membahas tentang iklim. Adaptasi dan mitigasi guna menghadapi dampak perubahan iklim dapat di upayakan melalui salah satu kegiatan seperti Jurnal Club. >> More
This is a key issue in a newly established research project that will examine climate change in the Arctic over the next 30 years. The study will show how the reduced amounts of sea ice and snow in the Arctic are interacting with climate change.
Extreme weather events such as cold snaps in the winter and heat waves in the summer have been linked to the reduction of sea ice and warming in the Arctic. The proportion of the observed extreme events that is due to the reduction of sea ice in the Arctic is still an unanswered question. >> More
Durante el transcurso del mes abril de 2014 se registraron importantes acumulados de
precipitación, como consecuencia de numerosas tormentas de variada intensidad que han tenido
ocurrencia principalmente en la región norte de la Patagonia, región central y litoral del país.
Dichas tormentas, que para numerosas localidades del territorio nacional ya han dado
lugar a valores de precipitación registrada superiores a los valores normales del mes, estuvieron
acompañadas por la presencia de actividad eléctrica, vientos intensos y ráfagas. >> Más
The likelihood of El Niño remains high, with all climate models surveyed by the Bureau now indicating El Niño is likely to occur in 2014. Six of the seven models suggest El Niño thresholds may be exceeded as early as July.
The Pacific Ocean has been warming along the equator over recent weeks, with continued warming in the central Pacific likely in coming months. Another burst of westerly winds is presently occurring in the western Pacific, and is likely to cause further warming of the sub-surface. >> More
On April 9, it was reported from the 1st leading team’s meeting of the 3rd atmospheric experiment in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau that the experiment would be officially initiated this year. Then China would build 3-dimentional comprehensive integrated observing system in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and the surrounding area. China Meteorological Administration (CMA), Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) and National Natural Science Foundation (NNSF) have jointly established the leading team and expert panel.
Administrator of CMA Zheng Guoguang and other experts and academicians participating in the experiment attended the meeting. >> More
Après 5 années consécutives en déficit suivie d'une année excédentaire d'environ 15 %, le
bilan pluviométrique sur la période de recharge (de septembre 2013 à mars 2014) est à nouveau excédentaire, en moyenne sur la France d'environ 20 %.
Toutefois, cet excédent de précipitations dites "efficaces" (eau disponible pour l'écoulement et la recharge des nappes) diminue. Après un début d'année très arrosé, le mois de mars a en effet connu durant une quinzaine de jours une belle accalmie avec un temps sec, un soleil dominant et des températures printanières proches de 20 °C. Sur l'ensemble du mois, la pluviométrie moyennée sur la France est inférieure de près de 35 % à la normale. Les précipitations ont été particulièrement faibles sur le nord et l'est de la France, avec moins de 6 jours de pluie et des cumuls souvent inférieurs à 20 mm sur ces régions. >> suite
Warmer, drier and sunnier than average – many station records
Offenbach, 28 March 2014 – March 2014 was dominated by high pressure, which brought spring-like weather to Germany, with plenty of sunshine, very little precipitation and significantly higher temperatures than usual. This was in sharp contrast to the relatively wintry March of the previous year. This is what the initial analysis by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) of data from its around 2,000 weather stations shows. >> More
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Secretary-General Mr. Michel Jarraud visited the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) on 20 March 2014 in conjunction with his attendance at the main World Water Day celebrations held in Tokyo from 20 to 21 March.
Mr. Jarraud paid a courtesy visit to Dr. Mitsuhiko Hatori, the then-Director-General of JMA and Permanent Representative of Japan with WMO. Dr. Hatori briefly outlined JMA's work, and the two leaders exchanged views on the collaborative relationship enjoyed between JMA and WMO.>> More
The mean temperature (7.7 ℃) for March 2014 nationwide was the second highest in a record extending back to 1973. The monthly amount of precipitation (74.1 mm) was 126.9% of normal. Climate features and long-term trends in March 2014 have been analyzed with the data collected at the 45 meteorological stations throughout Korea (national average) from 1973 to 2014 (1908-2014 for Seoul). Normal : Average value of climatic element data collected from 1981 to 2010. The climatic characteristics in March 2014 are described as follows: For Korea (whole country), The mean temperature (7.7 ℃), the mean maximum temperature (13.5 ℃) and the mean minimum temperature (2.2 ℃) were 1.8 ℃, 1.7 ℃, 1.6 ℃ above normals, respectively. The mean temperature was the second highest, the mean maximum temperature was the third highest, the mean minimum temperature was the highest in a record extending back to 1973. The nationally-averaged precipitation was 74.1 mm, which was 126.9% of normal. The number of the days of rain was 9.1 days, which was 1.0 days more than normal. The total number of the hours of sunshine was 212.3 hours, which was 109.4% of normal. >> More
La Mission permanente de la Principauté de Monaco et la Mission permanente de Belgique vous invitent à une conférence publique "un développement durable est-il possible sur une planète en réchauffement?", le jeudi 24 avril 2014 de 16h à 18h au Palais des Nations à Genève. >> Suite
A new long-range forecast system developed by Met Office scientists has delivered a potential advance in the skill of predictions for European and North American winters.
The system uses a next generation prediction system to give potentially more helpful guidance on winter weather patterns up to weeks ahead. >> More
Les températures de mars 2014 ont été environ 2 degrés supérieures à la norme 1981 2010. Au Nord des
Alpes, grâce à 2 semaines de beau temps, l’ensoleillement a été supérieur à la normale. Au Tessin, les premières journées estivales de l’année avec des températures supérieures à 25 degrés ont été
mesurées. >> Suite
La Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) del Ministerio de Agricultura, Alimentación y Medio Ambiente (MAGRAMA) y la Agencia Japonesa de Meteorología (JMA) han fortalecido su colaboración en investigaciones en materia de modelos numéricos de predicción de alta resolución y la predicibilidad de los fenómenos atmosféricos extremos.
La colaboración entre ambos países se ha intensificado tras la reciente visita del director del Departamento de Investigación de la Predicción del Instituto de Investigación Meteorológica de la JMA, el doctor Kazuo Saito, a la sede de AEMET en Madrid. El doctor Saito ha podido comprobar como las investigaciones realizadas por AEMET en el ámbito de la predicción probabilística de fenómenos severos –por ejemplo las lluvias torrenciales– avanzan en líneas paralelas y se fundamentan en resultados muy similares a los de su país. >> Mas
A new era of European remote sensing will begin on 3 April when the first Copernicus Sentinel satellite will be launched into orbit from French Guiana. The satellite is especially useful for the monitoring of the ice situation, snow cover and floods.
The Sentinel satellites are a series of remote sensing satellites developed by ESA, the European Space Agency, which will produce an unprecedented number of measurements and satellite images. The primary goal of the Sentinel-1A to be launched is ground surface and ocean observation. >> More
Après un début de mois perturbé, la France a connu durant une quinzaine de jours une belle accalmie avec un soleil dominant et des températures printanières souvent proches de 20 °C.
La douceur perdure depuis le début de l'année. Les températures ont encore affiché des valeurs supérieures à la normale* pendant la majeure partie du mois sur l'ensemble du pays. Conformes aux normales de la Bretagne au Sud-Ouest ainsi qu'en Corse, les températures moyennes ont été généralement supérieures de plus de 1 °C à la normale* sur le reste du pays, voire localement de plus de 2 °C dans le Nord-Est. Moyennées sur la France, elles ont été supérieures aux normales de 1,1 °C. >> Suite
On April 1, it was reported from the press conference of China Meteorological Administration that in the past March was generally better than the same period of last year. The light and water conditions were beneficial for agricultural production.
According to the monitoring, in March, the average temperature of most agricultural regions were similar to 1 to 4℃ higher than normal years. In Northeast China, the heat condition was better than last year while precipitation was less. As for the south, rainfall days of many places were over 5. Some places of Guangdong, Guangxi and Fujian suffered regional short-term gale and hail. >> More
The April to June maximum temperature outlook shows chances of greater than 60% for warmer than normal days over most of the tropical north, the eastern States, southeast SA, and south coastal WA. Chances exceed 80% over southern Victoria and Tasmania. So for every ten April to June outlooks with similar odds to these, about six to eight of them would be warmer than average over these areas, while about two to four would be cooler.
Over the Cape York Peninsula in Queensland, southern and central WA, the southwest of the NT, and most of SA the chances of warmer or cooler daytime temperatures are roughly equal. >> More
Durante el mes de marzo del 2014 han ocurrido tormentas de variada intensidad, las cuales afectaron principalmente las regiones del centro y norte del país. Estas tormentas se han caracterizado por la presencia de actividad eléctrica, fuertes vientos e importantes valores de precipitación. A continuación se presenta el campo de precipitación acumulada y anomalía porcentual para el mes de Marzo. >> Mas
With the view to support the realization of the Global Framework for Climate Services’ Implementation Plan, approved at the extraordinary session of the WMO Congress on 31 October 2012, the State Hydrometeorological Service of the Republic of Moldova organized the first roving seminar for farmers entitled: "Weather and Climate". The seminar took place on 12 and 13 March 2014 in Chisinau. It was hosted by the State Hydrometeorological Service and organized with the kind support of the Ministry of Environment of the Republic of Moldova and the World Meteorological Organization.
U.S. Spring Flood Risk Map for 2014. (Credit: NOAA)
According to NOAA’s Spring Outlook released today, rivers in half of the continental United States are at minor or moderate risk of exceeding flood levels this spring with the highest threat in the southern Great Lakes region due to above-average snowpack and a deep layer of frozen ground. Additionally, drought is expected to continue in California and the Southwest. The continuation of winter weather, above-average snowpack, frozen ground and thick ice coverage on streams and rivers will delay spring flooding into April in the upper Midwest eastward to New England. The intensity of the flooding will depend on the rate of snow and ice melt, and future rainfall. >> More
Lena Häll Eriksson, Director-General of SMHI, and Lea Kauppi, Director-General of SYKE.
SMHI and SYKE in Finland enter a unique collaboration on marine environmental monitoring Sweden. SMHI and SYKE, the Finnish Environment Institute, have begun a close collaboration to monitor the marine environment of the Baltic and the North Sea. “It is unique for two countries to sign an agreement in this way, but we are leading a trend that the EU and the global organization ICES would like to see going forward. As a combined force we can improve the monitoring of the acute problems that the sea faces, while sharing the cost,” says Lena Häll Eriksson Director-General of SMHI.
“The first joint research trip has already departed on the Aranda. Finnish and Swedish marine researchers will initially intercalibrate their instruments and take samples to measure oxygen levels and the phosphorus and nitrogen content. In parallel, we are drawing up a joint-programme for future marine environmental monitoring,” says Lea Kauppi, Director-General of SYKE. >> More
◇ The mean temperature (2.5 ℃) in February 2014 nationwide is above normal and the monthly precipitation (28.7 mm) is below normal.
◇ The mean temperature (1.5 ℃) in Winter 2013 nationwide is above normal and the precipitation (59.7 mm) is below normal.
□ Climate features and long-term trends in February 2014 and Winter 2013 have been analyzed with the data collected at the 45 meteorological stations throughout Korea (national average) from 1973 to 2013 (1908-2013 for Seoul).
※ Normal : Average value of climatic element data collected from 1981 to 2010.
□ The climatic characteristics in February 2014 are described as follows:
For Korea (whole country):
The mean temperature (2.5 ℃), the mean maximum temperature (7.9 ℃) and the mean minimum temperature (-2.1 ℃) were 1.4 ℃, 1.1 ℃, 1.7 ℃ above normals, respectively. The low pressure brought the warm weather continued on for several days and the development of the high pressure affected temperature dropped during the first ten days of the month. The east wind moved in peninsular during the middle ten days and the high pressure brought the clear and dry weather continued on the last ten days. >> More
SEASONAL CLIMATE OUTLOOK
El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-neutral conditions persisted during the remaining months of 2013 up to December, as reflected by near-average sea surface temperature (SST) across the central and east-central equatorial Pacific (CEEP). Most model forecasts continue to indicate ENSO-neutral condition into early 2014, with an increasing chance towards a warming trend during Northern Hemisphere summer of 2014.
January – March 2014:
The period is the peak of the Northeast (NE) monsoon season, locally known as “Amihan”. Tropical cyclone activity is however at its minimum. Weather systems that may affect the country are the NE monsoon, tail-end of a cold front, trough of low pressure areas (LPAs), Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), easterlies and one (1) to two (2) tropical cyclones that are likely to develop/enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Cold surges are expected during the period.
For January-February-March season, rainfall conditions will likely be near to above normal in most parts of the country while patches of below normal rainfall maybe observed over Northern and Central Luzon during January. Sulu and Tawi - tawi are expected to receive below normal rainfall during February and similarly over Cordillera Autonomous Region (CAR), Nueva Ecija, Eastern Samar and Northern Palawan during March. Gradual weakening of the NE monsoon may begin during the early part of March.
April to June 2014: The period covers the gradual shift of the season from NE monsoon to Southwest (SW) monsoon. The weather systems that may influence the country are the ridge of high pressure area (HPA), ITCZ, LPAs and three (3) to six (6) tropical cyclones. During the period, the mean track of tropical cyclones is located from southern Luzon to central Visayas areas, extending towards the West Philippine Sea. During April, generally way below to below normal rainfall are likely to occur in most parts of the country, except in some areas in Western Mindanao and portions of CARAGA Region which are expected to receive near to above normal rainfall. Likewise, near to above normal rainfall maybe experienced during May and June. This condition may favor the normal onset of the rainy season (latter part of May or early part of June) in areas under climate Type. >> More
Ayer, el meteorólogo Carlos Naranjo, director Ejecutivo del Inamhi; y, la ministra del Ambiente, Lorena Tapia, suscribieron una Carta de Compromiso, mediante la cual el Inamhi asume la operación y gestión de 17 estaciones, que se incorporan a la red nacional de mediciones hidro-climatológica del país. Estas en particular servirán para reforzar el estudio del ecosistema de los páramos.
Las referidas estaciones automáticas están ubicadas en glaciares y páramos asociados a las microcuencas de Papallacta, Antisana y Pita, a una altura superior a los 3 mil metros sobre el nivel del mar. Esto fue posible mediante un trabajo conjunto entre la Subsecretaría de Cambio Climático del MAE, a través del Proyectode Adaptación al Impacto del Retroceso Acelerado de Glaciares en los Andes Tropicales (PRAA) y el financiamiento del Banco Mundial. >> Mas
CMA and UK Met Office signed the new MOU.
On Mar.25, the eight session Joint Working Group (JWG) on cooperation in the field of atmospheric science and technology between China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Met Office of United Kingdom was held in Beijing.
Mr John Hirst, Chief Executive of Met Office and Co-chair of the JWG attended the session. Dr Zheng Guoguang, Administrator of CMA chaired the meeting. Ms Jiao Meiyan, Deputy Administrator of CMA attended the meeting. Dr. Zheng extended his warm welcome on behalf CMA saying that CMA attached great importance to cooperation with Met Office. Since the Memorandum of Understanding on cooperation in the field of atmospheric science and technology signed in 1991, CMA and Met Office have developed fruitful cooperation on climate science, numerical forecast, satellite data assimilation, observation, meteorological observation, education and training, service delivery for the Olympic Games and others. The collaboration has effectively helped the modernization of China's meteorological service. >> More
Monthly sea surface temperatures
While the tropical Pacific Ocean remains El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral, the chance of an El Niño occurring in 2014 has increased. The latest climate model survey by the Bureau shows that the tropical Pacific is likely to warm in the coming months, with most models showing sea surface temperatures reaching El Niño thresholds during the southern hemisphere winter.
Observations indicate that the tropical Pacific Ocean is currently warming. Following two strong westerly wind bursts since the start of the year, waters below the surface of the tropical Pacific have warmed significantly over the past two months. This has led to some warming at the surface, with further warming expected in the coming weeks. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has dropped to –13—the lowest 30-day value since March 2010—but would need to remain firmly negative for several weeks to indicate the atmosphere and ocean are reinforcing each other. El Niño is often, but not always, associated with below normal rainfall across large parts of southern and inland eastern Australia during the second half of the year. Daytime temperatures also tend to be above normal over southern Australia. >> More
Image Météosat I.R du 18/02/14 à1200utc
Le mois de février 2014 n’a pas connu réellement de situations météorologiques particulières, excepté cependant la situation vécue en fin du mois sur la région du Sahara oriental ou l’on avait enregistré de fortes précipitations ayant entraîné l’écoulement des eaux de certains oueds de la région notamment l’oued Takhmelt (nord Illizi), provoquant malheureusement la perte de deux enfants. Il y a lieu de signaler cependant que des épisodes pluvio-orageux assez intenses accompagnés de vents violents ont été enregistrés durant ce mois dont les plus intenses ont été enregistrés au début de la deuxième décade (du 09 au 12) avec un cumul pluviométrique max de 48mm enregistré à la station de Tizi ouzou et durant la dernière décade notamment du 24 au 26 où l’on a enregistré un cumul max de 41mm à Mascara. >> Suite
Niue now has a legislation making comprehensive provisions in relation to the provision of meteorological and climate related services. The title of the legislation is the “Meteorological Services Act of 2013 (No. 326)”, passed by Niue’s Assembly on the 11th of September 2013, and subsequently signed and sealed by the Speaker of Assembly, Honorable Ahohiva Levi on the 23rd of September 2013.
Part 1 of the Act provides preliminary definitions of terminologies used; Part 2 outlines the functions and responsibilities of the Niue Meteorological Service; Part 3 refers to the functions of the Niue Meteorological Service in relation to regional international conventions and treaties; Part 4 highlights the protection and operation of the Meteorology Department’s assets; Part 5 focuses on the enforcement of the Meteorological Services Act 2013; and the Act concludes with Part 6 which includes protection of the Niue Meteorological Service from liability, and provision of fees or charges for services. >> More
The Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-hazards Department (VMGD) under the Ministry of Climate Change and Natural Disasters is launching its newly developed Strategic Development Plan for 2014 to 2023 on 7 February at its headquarters in Port Vila by the Minister for Climate Change.
The purpose of this Development Plan is to set out the strategic context and direction for strengthening the capacity of the VMGD to have and operate state-of-the-art technical services to achieve the highest standards to deliver its core quality services.
The 10-year plan’s objective is to provide VMGD with a strategic framework for developing each of its five divisions – the Weather Forecasting and Services Division, Climate Division, Climate Change and Disaster Risk Reduction Division, Geo-hazards Division and Observations Division – through capacity building. The plan ensures that support is coordinated and delivered effectively in partnership with the national government, regional and international agencies, development partners and technical counterpart agencies in Vanuatu. >> More
Percentage of Monthly Rainfall Anomaly for February 2014
Some parts of Peninsula Malaysia were inundated with flood due to widespread of rainfall for about 2 weeks in December. On the contrary, the monthly rainfall amount was extremely below-average in February. Besides that, most parts of the country were affected by unusual cold temperatures in the first half of January, mainly over the northern portion of Peninsula Malaysia.
National Climate Centre, CMA (March 4, 2014). During the 2013/2014 winter (December 2013-February 2014), the mean temperature over China was -2.9℃, 0.5℃ higher than the normal，and the average precipitation amount was 39.2 mm, 4% less than the normal.
Extreme cold events in parts of China. Extreme cold events were detected by 83 observing stations in Yunnan, Guangxi, Guangdong, etc.; 125 stations in Northeast, North China, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, etc. recorded extreme temperature drop in a single day; 96 stations in Tibet, Sichuan, Yunnan, etc., recorded extreme temperature drop in consecutive days ; 15 stations including Arshaan of Inner Mongolia and Qingshuihe in Qinghai set records of largest temperature drop in a single day and 14 stations including Banma in Qinghai tied with or set all-time records of largest temperature drop in consecutive days.
Extreme events of continuous no-precipitation in North China and part of Southwest. Over South China, North China and the eastern part of Southwest, the number of consecutive days with no measured precipitation reached the thresholds of extreme events at 97 stations, of which 16 stations hit or broke their records of no precipitation days, including Gaotai Station in Gansu with 163 days and Fengning Station in Hebei with 107 days. >> More
The Tokyo Climate Centre, Japan Meteorological Agency, has issued its Winter newsletter. Information on the global average surface temperatures for 2013; highlights of the global climate for 2013; summary of Japan’s climatic characteristics for 2013; the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis (JRA-55); upgrade of JMA’s one-month ensemble prediction system; complete revision of ClimatView for plug-in-free compatibility with Web browsers; TCC activity report for 2013. >> More
December, as well as previous November, as a whole across Russia was the warmest on records. It’s the 7th warmest in the Center of the European Russia, the 1st in the south of the Far East and the 3rd in Siberia.Weather was -2…-3°C colder usual in the south of ETR. >> More
"A report on climate features on the territory of the Russian federation in 2013" [in Russian]
Durante el mes febrero de 2014 han ocurrido numerosas tormentas de variada intensidad, las cuales afectaron principalmente a la región central y norte del país. Estas tormentas se han caracterizado por la presencia de actividad eléctrica, ráfagas intensas de viento e importantes valores de precipitación, que para varias localidades han superado el valor normal del mes y han generado valores récords mensuales.
A continuación se presenta el campo de precipitación acumulada para el transcurso del mes de febrero.
Observando el campo de precipitación acumulada, se aprecian valores superiores a los 150mm sobre prácticamente todo el centro y norte del país, con la excepción de un mínimo localizado.sobre Santiago del Estero donde el monto mensual es de 89,5 mm. Valores de precipitación que apenas superan los 100 mm se hallan en Formosa y Misiones. Se observa otro mínimo localizado al este de la provincia de Buenos Aires, en la estación Dolores con un valor de precipitación acumulada de 92 mm. El máximo valor de precipitación acumulada según la red del SMN se encuentra en Gualeguaychú, con 323 mm. >> Mas
Monthly sea surface temperatures
The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral – neither El Niño nor La Niña. However, international climate models surveyed by the Bureau indicate that warming of the tropical Pacific is likely in the coming months, with most models showing temperatures approaching or exceeding El Niño thresholds during the austral winter.
Recent observations indicate that warming of the tropical Pacific is occurring. The tropical Pacific Ocean sub-surface has warmed substantially over the past few weeks, which is likely to result in a warming of the sea surface in the coming months. A recent burst of westerly winds over the far western Pacific is the strongest seen since at least 2009 – the last time an El Niño developed.
El Niño is often, but not always, associated with below-average rainfall during the second half of the year across large parts of southern and inland eastern Australia. Daytime temperatures also tend to be above average over southern Australia. >> More
A definitive report on observed changes in long term trends in Australia’s climate has been released today by CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
Bureau Chief Executive Dr Rob Vertessy said temperatures across Australia were, on average, almost 1°C warmer than they were a century ago, with most of the warming having occurred since 1950.
“Australia’s mean temperature has warmed by 0.9°C since 1910,” Dr Vertessy said.
“Seven of the ten warmest years on record in Australia have occurred since 1998. When we compare the past 15 years to the period 1951 to1980, we find that the frequency of very warm months has increased five-fold and the frequency of very cool months has decreased by around a third.
“The duration, frequency and intensity of heatwaves have increased across large parts of Australia since 1950. >> More
|Rainfall anomaly 1 December 2013 to 25 February 2014|
Early Met Office statistics for Winter 2014 show that England and Wales has already had its wettest winter in almost 250 years.
As February comes to an end provisional rainfall figures (from 1 December 2013 to 25 February 2014) confirm the UK has had its wettest winter since the national series records began in 1910.
New records have been set for many parts of the UK, with southeast and central southern England having seen well over double the rainfall expected in a normal winter. >> More
Durant l'hiver 2013-2014, un flux d'ouest à sud-ouest perturbé a dominé sur l'Europe de l'Ouest, apportant sur la France de nombreuses tempêtes, d'abondantes précipitations et une douceur exceptionnelle.
À partir de la mi-décembre, le thermomètre a affiché des valeurs très douces pour la saison avec très peu de gelées en plaine. La température moyennée sur la France et sur la saison a été supérieure de 1.8 °C à la normale*. Sur la période 1900-2014, l'hiver 2013-2014 se place au deuxième rang des hivers les plus doux derrière celui de 1989-1990 et ex-aequo avec l'hiver 2006-2007.
Les précipitations ont été particulièrement abondantes sur la façade ouest du pays et dans le Sud-Est. Elles sont en revanche restées déficitaires de l'Hérault aux Pyrénées-Orientales ainsi que dans le Nord-Est. Avec plus de 50 jours de pluie, la fréquence des précipitations a été exceptionnelle du littoral Atlantique aux côtes de la Manche. La pluviométrie de cet hiver 2013-2014 est la plus élevée de la période 1959-2014 en Bretagne mais aussi en Provence – Alpes – Côte d'Azur.
Sur l'ensemble de la saison et du pays, l'excédent de pluviométrie est proche de 40 %. >> Suite
Photo: Eija Vallinheimo
February was exceptionally warm in Central and Northern Finland. Due to the cold period in January, the mean temperature for the entire winter was only exceptionally high in individual places. According the Finnish Meteorological Institute, the month's mean temperature varied from 0°C in the country's southwest to -5°C in Northern Lapland.
In many parts of the country, February was 6-8°C warmer than usual, and in some locations in the north over 9°C warmer than average.
February was exceptionally warm in Central and Northern Finland. Starting in 1900, February has only been warmer once, in 1990. February was also exceptionally warm in the country's south. The previous time this region experienced a warmer February was in 2008. Other warm Februaries include those in 1974 and 1989. The month's highest temperature of +8.1 °C was measured at Pori's railway station on 24 February. The month's lowest temperature of -37.5°C was measured at Kiutaköngäs in Kuusamo on the first of the month. >> More
Offenbach, 27 February 2014 – The weather conditions that prevailed in December and January did not change in February 2014. Germany was repeatedly on the south-eastern flank of storm depressions and in areas of mild air. Although the troughs brought frequent precipitation, it was generally sparse and diminished considerably as it moved eastwards, where it nearly all fell as rain. In between, the weather was often sunny.
Overall, this made February too dry, sunny and exceptionally mild as the initial analysis by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) of data from its around 2,000 weather stations shows. >> More
North India consisting of seven subdivisions (East U.P., West U.P. Uttaranchal, Haryana, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir) receives about 17% of its annual rainfall during the winter season (January to March). The Jammu & Kashmir in particular receives about 30% of its annual rainfall during this period. The winter rainfall is very crucial for Rabi crops over the region. It is also crucial for the water management of the region. In view of these reasons, India Meteorological Department (IMD) has been issuing long range forecast outlook for the winter rainfall over north India. IMD also continuously works to improve the skill of the forecasting models. This year, for preparing the quantitative and probabilistic forecasts for winter season rainfall over the North India, a 4-parameter Principle Component Regression (PCR) has been used. Multi Model Ensemble Forecasts based on dynamical models from few important international agencies were also examined for guidance. >> More
Near normal with a tendency to depressed rainfall is expected over most of the eastern sector of the country during. March-May 2014 “Long-Rains” Season. On the other hand, rainfall over the western, northwestern and central. counties is likely to be enhanced.
Most of the rainfall over the better part of the country is likely to be recorded during the peak month of April.
The seasonal rainfall onset is expected during the third week of March over most parts of western Kenya. The better part of the eastern sector, especially Northeastern Kenya is likely to remain dry throughout the month of March. >> More
The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NIMET) has prepared the 2014 edition of the Seasonal Rainfall Prediction (SRP) infulfilment of its mandate of ensuring effective monitoring of the nation's weather and climate and provision of relevant meteorological information, advisories and early warnings to all Nigerians, planners, decision-makers and operators of the various rainfall-sensitive socioeconomic sectors. The prediction is done annually and usually presented to its stakeholders for their inputs on socio-economic implications of the predictions before its public presentation. The SRP is released early in the year so as to create good lead-time for policy makers to factor into their decision making processes. The agency therefore contributes to risk reduction associated with extreme weather and climate hazards as well as safety of lives and property. The product contributes significantly to the sustainable socioeconomic development of Nigeria. >> More
General Climate Characteristics-Upper Thailand (Northern, Northeastern, Central and Eastern parts of Thailand):
During the first half of March: For Northern and Northeastern parts, some high pressure air masses from China still prevail over upper Thailand from time to time. This causes the area still to be cool in the morning with thick fog in many areas especially at the upper portion of these parts. Hot weather swelters during daytime, and thunder rains happen on some days in some areas. For Central and Eastern parts, the southeasterly or southerly winds prevail over this area causing sweltering weather in many areas especially at the upper portion of these parts. Additionally, some thunder rains happen on some days.
Then during middle March till April: >> More
|Dr. Kathryn Sullivan (Credit NOAA)|
Today, the United States Senate confirmed Kathryn D. Sullivan, Ph.D. as under secretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere. In this capacity, she will serve as the tenth administrator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the nation’s top science agency for climate, oceans, and the atmosphere.
“With her impressive background as a scientist and astronaut and her excellent record of building bridges between diverse environmental stakeholder communities and federal policymakers, Kathy brings a great blend of scientific rigor, team-building skills, and strategic sensibility to the important job of NOAA administrator,” said John P. Holdren, assistant to the president and director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy.
|Dr.Zheng met with Shun Chi-Ming, director of the HKO|
On Mar.6, Zheng Guoguang, Administrator of China Meteorological Administration(CMA) met with Shun Chi-Ming, director of the Hong Kong Observatory(HKO) and president of the Commission for Aeronautical Meteorology of the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) in Beijing.
Dr. Zheng expressed that he's willing to enhance meteorological data sharing and technical exchange including in radar data. He gave the readings about WGI report of IPCC AR5, 2013 bulletin of China climate and monitoring bulletin of China climate change as the presents to Mr. Shun Chi-Ming. The two sides exchanged views on challenges aeronautical meteorology faced and matters of Typhoon Committee.
After meeting, Mr.Shun visited National Center for Space Weather of CMA, and hoped the Center could make great contribution for International Space Weather Center of ICAO. (Mar.7) >> More
|JMA Director-General Dr. Mitsuhiko Hatori (left) and JRCS President Mr. Tadateru Konoe (right) sign the agreement at JMA Headquarters.|
The Japanese Red Cross Society (JRCS) and the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) held a signing ceremony for the Agreement on Cooperation in the Promotion of Knowledge on Disaster Risk Reduction on 5 March 2014 at JMA Headquarters in Tokyo, Japan.
JRCS President Mr. Tadateru Konoe and JMA Director-General Dr. Mitsuhiko Hatori signed the agreement for the purpose of helping to mitigate damage and reduce the number of victims from possible natural hazards that may occur in the future, taking into account the experience of the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake.
JMA will provide JRCS with up-to-date information and materials to raise public awareness of disaster risk reduction, and JRCS will provide related education at around 13,000 kindergartens, nursery schools, elementary and junior/senior high schools, and schools for children with special needs nationwide through its Junior Red Cross activities. These efforts will be promoted not only at head office level but also among the field offices of JRCS and JMA.
Based on this cooperation between JRCS and JMA, the promotion of knowledge on disaster risk reduction is expected to enable Japanese people to utilize weather information more effectively and to better take action depending on their circumstances. JRCS and JMA will also share experience gained through this initiative with relevant departments internationally. >> More
The XXII Olympic / XI Paralympic Games «Sochi-2014» will be held in Sochi, Russia, on February 8-23 / March 7-16, 2014. Roshydromet (the Russian Federal Service for HydroMeteorology and Environmental Monitoring), is responsible for providing of hydrological and meteorological support and services to ensure the safety of the guests and participants and efficient work of involved bodies.
On February 12 a delegation from the Republic of Korea — host of the XXIII Winter Olympic Games of 2018 visited the Olympic team of Roshydromet meteorologists. Among the representatives of the Korean Meteorological Administration there was the Chief Meteorologist of the Olympic Games-2018, the Director of Departments of Sports, Snow, Ecology and Weather of the Organizing Committee of the Olympic Winter Games of 2018 in Pyeongchang and managers of the sport teams. >> More
Depuis le début de cette année 2014, les températures ont affiché des valeurs supérieures à la normale sur l'ensemble du pays. La France métropolitaine a connu un début d'année doux avec une anomalie globale de température moyenne de +2,5°C entre le 1er janvier et le 17 février.
Depuis le 1er janvier, l'indicateur thermique quotidien pour la France métropolitaine, constitué de la moyenne des températures quotidiennes* de 30 stations métropolitaines, est resté toujours supérieur à sa moyenne climatologique (moyenne de référence 1981-2010). >> Suite
Recently, the field observation on the scientific research project of sea ice has finished. This project is undertaken by CMA Meteorological Observation Center, Meteorological Scientific Institute of Tianjin, Shanghai Ocean University and other organizations. The project group reflected signal by Beidou Satellite and American GPS navigational satellite to collect observation data twice every day.
Meanwhile, the group also sent special worker to develop manual observation to check error. Using navigation satellite to observe sea ice is the first time in China whole meteorological department. It not only monitors the areas of sea ice, but also develops dynamic intensive observation. In addition, the observation methods also realized real-time monitoring for thickness of sea ice. Tianjin meteorological bureau will take the opportunity to develop regular observation on sea ice, build integrated observation station and add observation methods for sea fog, sea wind and other factors. >> More
On February 18, the conclusion meeting on the in-orbiting test of "Feng Yun-3 C Satellite" was held in Beijing. This marked the test has been completely finished. The result was that the function of this satellite system was stable and sound. All the performances and indexes have reached the requirement which were even better than A and B satellites.
On September 23, 2013, Feng Yun-3 C Satellite was successfully launched in Taiyuan of Shanxi Province.
On October 21, it entered into the in-orbiting stage. Yu Rucong, Deputy Administrator of China Meteorological Administration and leader of the testing team said "The successful test marks China's second generation of polar-orbiting meteorological satellite has changed from experiment and application to operation and service. In next stage, we should strengthen the in-orbiting operation and management so as to play its effectiveness of the application." >> More
With respect to Qatar Meteorology Department's vision towards development, progress and assume the leadership in the field of meteorology, a mutual agreement has been reached between Qatar Meteorology Department and Korea Meteorology Department to enhance the collaboration and coordination in the fields of climate, meteorology, earthquakes and natural hazards.
In addition, the information, resources and technological knowledge exchange are facilitated in order to exchange scientific benefits to build an integrated task force with the highest efficiency and skills to reach the desired results with the best quality. >> More
The Bureau of Meteorology has released a new public weather portal which allows weather enthusiasts to view and share observations, sightings and photos in real-time.The Weather Observations Website (WOW) represents a collaborative partnership between the Australian Bureau of Meteorology and its British equivalent the Met Office, the UK's national weather service. The new service will be trialled for the first time in Australia from today. Assistant Director Observing Strategy and Operations, Dr Anthony Rea, said the data uploaded to the Weather Observations Website by the public would complement data delivered around the clock from more than 700 official Automatic Weather Stations across Australia. >> More
On February 18, the Minister of Emergency Situations Armen Yeritsyan received the regional project manager of Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) Daisuke Fukumori. In the conference hall of the Ministry of Emergency Situations, Minister Yeritsyan and JICA project manager Daisuke Fukumori signed a protocol of "Landslide disaster management program in the Republic of Armenia". Welcoming the guests, Minister of Emergency Situations Armen Yeritsyan noted:
One-third of the territory of Armenia is in a dangerous landslide zone. In our country there are about 3,000 landslides, of which the most dangerous are 120. I am confident, that this program will be a significant contribution to the prevention of landslides and mitigation of damages. Landslides management issues are in the spotlight of the Government of the RA. In July 2013, the Government of Armenia approved the concept of "Management of landslide disasters of the Republic of Armenia". >> More
El Instituto de Hidrología Meteorología y Estudios Ambientales (IDEAM), lanzó al país alertas tempranas sobre desabastecimiento de agua e incendios forestales.
Así lo dio a conocer el Director General del IDEAM, Omar Franco Torres, quien explicó en rueda de prensa, la marcada tendencia de niveles bajos en los ríos del país y de las micro cuencas que los abastecen. "Básicamente los departamentos del centro oriente del país, el sector oriental del departamento de Cundinamarca, Boyacá, Santander y Norte de Santander. Esto quiere decir que los niveles de los afluentes de las micro cuencas pueden tener comprometido su nivel de abastecimiento", anunció el funcionario nacional.
El Director del IDEAM explicó a los medios de comunicación que la Orinoquía, Arauca, Meta y Casanare, también se encuentran en riesgo de desabastecimiento de agua debido a las altas temperaturas registradas por estos días.
"En la zona Caribe los departamentos de Cesar, Guajira, Magdalena, Bolívar y Atlántico, y algunas proyecciones del departamento de Sucre y Córdoba, también presentan esta situación", agregó Franco Torres. >> Mas
En los eventos históricos de diciembre 2013 y enero 2014 para varias localidades del país, la persistencia de días con temperaturas extremadamente altas, o sea los días en los que las temperaturas se ubicaron por encima del umbral que se considera extremo, han superado los récord principalmente en el centro y norte del territorio nacional, y en el norte de la Patagonia . Estos eventos se vuelven a repetir para el extremo noreste del territorio, desde el 28 de enero hasta el día 12 de febrero. Para este período las temperaturas mínimas oscilaron entre 22°C y 28°C, y las máximas entre 31°C y 42°C. >> Mas
La Agencia Estatal de Meteorología, dependiente del Ministerio de Agricultura, Alimentación y Medio Ambiente (MAGRAMA), presidirá la VIII reunión anual de la Junta Directiva Internacional de CIIFEN que se celebrará el lunes 24 de febrero en la sede central de AEMET en Madrid para realizar un repaso a las actuaciones llevadas a cabo durante el año pasado y establecer las líneas estratégicas en las que va a trabajar el centro durante este año.
La reunión estará presidida por Miguel Ángel López, presidente de AEMET, y contará con la presencia del secretario general de la Organización Meteorológica Mundial (OMM), Michel Jarraud. Al encuentro también acudirán el director internacional de CIIFEN, Daniel Pabón; el oficial del proyecto para América de la OMM, Andrés Orías; Pedro Basabe de UNISDR (Estrategia de Naciones Unidas para la Reducción de Riesgos de Desastre); María Córdova, representante del Ministerio de Relaciones Exteriores y Movilidad Humana de Ecuador y Julián Reyna, secretario general de la Comisión Permanente del Pacífico Sur. Además, intervendrá por videoconferencia Miguel Ángel Rabiolo, jefe de la Oficina Regional de América de la OMM y también acudirán otros miembros implicados de AEMET. España ha tenido un papel destacado en la puesta en marcha de CIIFEN, ya que junto con la OMM dio apoyo a la idea desde sus inicios y los dos primeros directores fueron españole y funcionarios de AEMET. >> Mas
A quelques jours de la fin de l'hiver météorologique, la Suisse vivra sans doute son troisième hiver (période du 1er décembre au 28 février) le plus chaud en moyenne nationale depuis le début des mesures en 1864, derrière les hivers 2006/2007 et 1989/1990. Par ailleurs, alors que des précipitations sont encore prévues au Tessin d'ici la fin du mois, la ville de Lugano a connu son hiver le plus humide depuis 1864, dépassant largement le record de l'hiver 1950/1951.
Le froid n'étant toujours pas prévu d'ici la fin du mois, il est déjà possible de tirer quelques conclusions au sujet de l'hiver météorologique 2013/2014 qui s'achèvera dans quelques jours. Ainsi, on peut déjà affirmer de manière très prudente que la Suisse vivra son troisième hiver le plus chaud en moyenne nationale depuis le début des mesures en 1864, derrière les hivers 2006/2007 et 1989/1990. L'écart à la norme 1981-2010 sera probablement compris entre 1.7 et 1.9 degré. >> suite
By Parviz Rezazadeh and Ahad Vazife, Senior Forecasters, IRIMO
A cold high with a central pressure of 1055mb surged from Eastern Europe and Russia toward the north of Iran from 31 January 2014. Northerly to north easterly currents were dominant for almost a week. They caused a severe fall in temperature over Iran and Afghanistan and heavy snowfall from the north coastal provinces to the Caspian Sea. With the anchorage effect of a blocking high in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere over eastern Europe, the northerly to north easterly polar jet stream from 70 to 36 degrees North latitude resulted in an advection of high relative vorticity in the region east of the Black Sea. >> More
Le mois de janvier 2014 a été très doux et marqué par des inondations dans de nombreuses regionsmetefran. La France a connu des flux d'ouest à sud-ouest perturbés apportant pluies et douceur maritimes. Ainsi, les températures ont été très clémentes pour la saison malgré un ensoleillement déficitaire. Les passages pluvieux abondants et successifs ont provoqué des inondations en Bretagne en début de mois, dans le Sud-Est les 18-19, puis dans le Sud-Ouest en fin de mois. Les températures ont affiché des valeurs supérieures à la normale pendant tout le mois sur l'ensemble du pays. Le nombre de jours de gel a été très faible. Avec 1988 et 1936, ce mois de janvier devrait être l'un des plus chauds depuis 1900. Les pluies ont été très excédentaires dans le sud-est du pays ainsi que du Cotentin à la Bretagne et au Sud-Ouest. La pluviométrie a été plus faible dans un petit quart nord-est et de la Picardie au Bassin parisien. En revanche, le déficit dépasse 50 % dans le Roussillon. En moyenne sur la France, les précipitations devraient être supérieures à la normale* de plus de 30 %. >> More
Early Met Office statistics for January 2014 show that the southeast and central southern England region has already had its wettest January in records going back to 1910, with three days still to go. A large area of southern England from East Devon to Kent and inland across parts of the midlands has already seen twice the average rainfall for the month. Southeast and central southern England has received more than twice its average rainfall with 175.2 mm of rain from 1 - 28 January. This beats the previous record of 158.2 mm set in January 1988. Further west across southwest England and south Wales the 222.6 mm of rainfall up to the 28th means January 2014 is already the 5th wettest on record and the wettest January since 1995 (224.4 mm). The wettest January on record here was 1948 when 244.3 mm of rain was recorded. >> More
Janvier 2014 a été le cinquième mois de janvier le plus chaud depuis le début des mesures il y a 150 ans.Il a fait exceptionnellement doux au cours des deux premières décades. En altitude, l’hiver a bien été présent au Sud des Alpes et en Engadine avec beaucoup de neige. Sur le reste du massif alpin, les quantités de neige ont été normales à fortement déficitaires. Le nord du Plateau est resté libre de neige.
Beaucoup de neige au Sud des Alpes et en Engadine
A la fin décembre 2013 déjà, une importante couche de neige s’était constituée dans les montagnes du Sud des Alpes. D’autres fortes chutes de neige se sont produites au cours de ce mois, notamment le 4 et du 13 au 19 janvier, si bien que l’importante couche de neige s’est mainte nue. A Bosco Gurin (1505 mètres), la couche de neige a atteint une épaisseur de 170 cm, soit la valeur la plus élevée depuis 20 ans et la quatrième valeur la plus élevée pour un mois de janvier depuis le début des mesures en 1961. L’épaisseur maximale du m anteau neigeux à Bosco. Gurin a été mesurée en avril 1975 avec 410 cm. Au deuxième rang figure mars 1972 avec une couche de neige déjà nettement moins épaisse de 300 cm. >> More
The M4 weather buoy, located off the Northwest coast, recorded a new maximum individual wave height of 23.4 metres at 15.00 on Sunday 26thJanuary 2014 during the weekend storm.
This figure easily surpasses the previous record of 20.4 metres at the same location in December 2011.
The M4 buoy is one of a new generation of weather buoys with the ability to measure maximum wave height as well as the more usual Significant Wave Height.
The Significant Wave Height is defined as the average height of the highest one-third of the waves and that is what our forecasts of wave height refer to.
In general, the highest wave of all will be about twice the Significant Wave Height. >> More
The Finnish Meteorological Institute's instruments are on a mission to solve one of the most interesting questions that perplexes humankind: did comets bring water and life to planet Earth? The Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) is a strong player in the European Space Association's (ESA) Rosetta Mission. Rosetta is currently en route to the Churyumov-Gerasimenko comet. Rosetta's lander is scheduled to land on the comet's surface on 11 November 2014. The FMI has participated in the design and manufacture of the five scientific measurement instruments that the Rosetta probe is carrying. By European standard's, the FMI's role in this project is therefore a very significant one. The first instrument to land on the comet will be the FMI-manufactured PP instrument, which is attached to the lander's legs. The instrument will be used to search for water on the surface of the comet. If water, which has the same isotopic composition as that found in the Earth's oceans, is found on the comet's surface, this will demonstrate that water, which has enabled life to form on Earth, has arrived on Earth at least partly on comets. FMI-made measurement instruments will also be used to study such things as the comet's dust and the comet's interaction with solar wind. If organic matter is found in the dust, it is possible that life was also brought to Earth by comets. >> More
Extensive sea ice surrounding Antarctica during December 2013 made it even more formidable than usual to access the icy continent. It was in this challenging environment that the Australasian Antarctic Expedition aboard the Russian ship Akademik Shokalskiy became trapped by thick floes of ice in eastern Antarctica’s Commonwealth Bay while following the route navigated by explorer Sir Douglas Mawson a century ago.
The National Snow and Ice Data Center reported that sea ice extent around Antarctica was above average in December. It was the highest December average since 2007 and second highest overall in the satellite record. Throughout 2013, satellites observed record extents for both the annual summer minimum (February) and winter maximum (September). >> More
February: Weather will be rather variable as cool or cold air in the morning, mostly at
Northern and Northeastern parts. Additionally, thunderstorms happen on some days.
March: High pressure air masses from China prevailing to cover the upper Thailand from time
to time will be mostly weak, and some southerly or southeasterly winds cover upper Thailand occasionally. Thus, the upper Thailand will be warm with thick fog in many areas and hot during daytime. However, in many areas of the Northern and Northern parts are still cool or cold in the morning and thunderstorms occur in some areas on some days. >> More
North India consisting of seven subdivisions (East U.P., West U.P. Uttaranchal,
Haryana, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir) receives about 17% of its annual
rainfall during the winter season (January to March). The Jammu & Kashmir in particular
receives about 30% of its annual rainfall during this period. The winter rainfall is very crucial for Rabi crops over the region. It is also crucial for the water management of the region. In view of these reasons, India Meteorological Department (IMD) has been issuing long range forecast outlook for the winter rainfall over north India. IMD also continuously works to improve the skill of the forecasting models. This year, for preparing the quantitative and probabilistic forecasts for winter season rainfall over the North India, a 4-parameter Principle Component Regression (PCR) has been used. Multi Model Ensemble Forecasts based on dynamical models from few important international agencies were also examined for guidance.
Based on the above information, the summary of the operational forecast for 2014 winter
season rainfall over north India is given below: IMD operational forecast for the 2014 winter season (Jan to March) is that the 2014 winter season rainfall over North India is most likely to be below normal (< 85 of the Long Period Average (LPA)). The LPA of the winter rainfall over North India for the period 1951-2000 is 183.1 mm. >> More
This statement gives a brief review of the performance of rainfall for October to 27th TANZANIA RAINFALL OUTLOOK FOR JANUARY TO MARCH 2014
This statement gives a brief review of the performance of rainfall for October to 27th
December, 2013 rainfall season, evolution of the climate systems and outlook for the January to March 2014 rainfall season.
1.0 REVIEW OF OCTOBER TO DECEMBER 2013 RAINFALL SEASON
During the short rain season of October to December 2013, most parts of the country
experienced below normal rainfall while western and Lake Victoria Basin areas experienced
normal to above normal rainfall. >> More
The weather in Iceland in 2013 was mainly favorable, however, the spring was harsh in the North and East and the summer was on the dull side in the South and West, with precipitation and cloudiness above average. This was the dullest summer of the new century in this area of the country.
The temperature was unusually high during the first two months but for the rest of the year it was closer to the 1961 - 1990 average, relatively coldest in April when persistent snow cover caused problems in the agriculture in the Northeast. An unusually severe but short cold spell hit during the last days of April and the first days of May and resulted in new May minimum temperature records both for the country as a whole and the inhabited areas as well. >>More
2013 in Russia has become the 6th warmest in the history of observation since 1891. It was 0.2 °C warmer than 2012, but considerably concedes to the record year 2007. In 2013 almost on the whole territory of Russia the average annual air temperature was higher than normal. This is for the first time since 2007. In 2013 in the south of Eastern Siberia it was colder than usually. It was 2 °C warmer than usually in the south of the Volga federal district, in Evenkia, in certain areas of the Sea of Okhotsk coast of the Khabarovsk and Kamchatka districts, and also in the north of the European territory: in Karelia, Murmansk region, Novaya Zemlya. On islands in the Kara Sea and Barents Sea the anomaly exceeded 3 °C. The anomaly of temperature in the Arctic in 2013 is less than in 2012 when it reached 6…7 °C and more. The average yearly temperature in the Arctic returned to the level observed 10 years ago. >> More
In the southwest peninsula of Cedros, one of Trinidad’s driest areas, Jenson Alexander grows the cocoa used for many years by the British chocolate giant Cadbury. Dry conditions mean that he frequently faces bush fires, a challenge compounded by increasing climate variability that makes it difficult to predict when an extended dry season, and the fires that accompany it, are likely to occur.
So in May, when the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) began issuing weather bulletins specifically to keep farmers updated on expected weather conditions, he found a measure of relief. “Before, it was difficult when you were expecting to have rain and [instead] you were having drought…and bush fires,” Alexander told IPS. The 10-day bulletins for farmers that the TTMS issues have considerably reduced the uncertainty, he said. “Now we have updates, we can plan better, if we are having an extended dry season. So bush fires won’t affect us” as they did before, he said. Kenneth Kerr, a climate meteorologist at TTMS, told IPS that “cocoa farmers have indicated that they found the bulletins very useful.” Trinidad boasts some of the finest cocoa in the world and the makers of Cadbury chocolate once owned and operated a cocoa estate in the island. Kerr is one of two meteorologists in Trinidad and Tobago who produce 10-day forecasts geared specifically to the farming community. >> More
Wetter and warmer year in China: CMA climate bulletin
Wetter and warmer conditions with multiple meteorological disasters highlight climate last year, says the annual climate bulletin released by the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) today.
In 2013, the national average precipitation of China is 653.5mm, 4 percent higher than normal years. The average temperature is 10.2 degrees Celsius, 0.6 degrees Celsius higher than normal years, and the fourth warmest year since 1961, said Mr Song Lianchun, Director-general of National Climate Centre at a press conference on January 14 in Beijing.
The Bulletin shows that in 2013, the strongest heat wave since 1951 hit southern China. Northeast China, Northwest China, and Sichuan Basin saw severe heavy rain and floods. The rainfall in Songhua River basin in northeast China was the most since 1951. With more precipitation than normal, Song said due to small coverage and light intensity of the agro-meteorological disasters in major grain growing regions, the weather and climate conditions for agriculture production were generally favorable.
2013 was also a busy year for typhoon, during which there were 31 typhoons formed in northwestern Pacific ocean and South China Sea, 5.5 more than normal years. 9 typhoons made landfall in China, with 2 more than average. Over the year, typhoons caused 199 death, 67 missing and economic loss up to 120 billion Yuan. Warmer ocean, active convection and suitable circulation patterns contributed to the active typhoon season, said Song. >> More
The weakening of the ozone layer, which protects the earth from
ultraviolet radiation from the sun, has stopped and ozone levels have
started to rise. A Finnish and American group of researchers has
examined a series of measurements taken by two satellite measuring
instruments. With the help of the instruments on the GOMOS and SAGE II satellites, a combined series of measurements over 27 years has been created. The measurements indicate that a change took place in about 1997. The year is the same when the levels of substances that destroy ozone reached their peak in the ozone layer and started to decline.
"By using complex atmospheric models it is possible to predict that the ozone layer will recover by mid-century", says Research Professor Erkki Kyrölä of the Finnish Meteorological Institute.This positive development indicates that the international Montreal Protocol signed
in 1988, which banned the use of CFC gases which destroy ozone, has been effective.
Today's release of the Bureau of Meteorology Annual Climate Statement
2013 confirms Australia has recorded its hottest calendar year on
record.Average temperatures were 1.20°C above the long-term average of
21.8°C, breaking the previous record set in 2005 by 0.17°C. All states
and territories recorded above average temperatures in 2013, with
Western Australia, Northern Territory and South Australia breaking their previous annual average temperature records.The year started with a persistent heatwave in January, with Australia recording its hottest day (7 January), hottest week, and hottest month on record. A new record was set for the number of consecutive days the national average temperature exceeded 39°C - seven days between 2 and 8 January 2013, almost doubling the previous record of four consecutive days in 1973. >> More
The Bureau of Meteorology is now piloting a new heatwave service to
forecast the onset of extreme heat events. Assistant Director for Weather Services, Alasdair Hainsworth, said the new service complements the Bureau's existing maximum and minimum seven (7) day
temperature forecasts across the country."The heatwave service
provides a measure of the build-up of 'excess' heat and will provide a
more advanced indicator than temperature alone in anticipating the
impact of heat stress," Mr Hainsworth said."The pilot service uses a
heatwave intensity index that assesses the build up of heat over a
period of time, taking into account the long-term climate of a location and the maximum and minimum temperatures leading up to a heatwave event. >> More
Globally, a preliminary assessment of the global average temperature
from January to November suggests that 2013 is likely to be among the
ten warmest years since global records began in 1850. Moreover, there
were numerous significant weather events around the world in 2013,
including heat waves in Australia, Austria, Pakistan and southern
China, severe drought in Brazil, New Zealand, southern Africa and southern China, extreme rainfall and flooding in Queensland and New South Wales of Australia, Mozambique, Argentina, Alpine region of Europe, southern England, Poland, Czech Republic, Russia and India, heavy snow in the northern parts of the United Kingdom, the contiguous United States and the Middle East, Super Typhoon Usagi in southern China, Super Typhoon Haiyan in the Philippines, Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Phailin in India as well as torrential rain induced by tropical cyclones in Mexico, Japan, the Philippines, Vietnam and Cambodia.
On November 1, 2013 the scientific expedition vessel «Akademik Fedorov» of the Arctic and Antarctic research Institute of Roshydromet was put out to sea from St. Petersburg under the program of the 59th Russian Antarctic Expedition (RAE). The captain of the ship is captain Igor Stetsun, the head of the 59-th seasonal RAE is Vladimir Bondarchuk. Both are well-experienced polar explorers, with many years on ships in ice-covered seas and on scientific stations in the Arctic and Antarctic in their past. From St. Petersburg to the Antarctic on board the ship went a crew of 72 people and 80 members of the RAE, 1537 tons of fuel, food, supplies, spare parts and equipment for the sledge-caterpillar hikes.