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OGP/JCOMM/WCRP Workshop on Climate Change and the Offshore InductryA workshop on “Climate change and the offshore industry”, co-sponsored by the Met-Ocean Committee of the International Association of Oil and Gas Producers (OGP), the WMO and IOC through the Joint Technical Commission for Oceanography and Marine Meteorology (JCOMM) and the World Climate Research Programme will take place, at the Headquarters of the World Meteorological Organization in Geneva, Switzerland from 27-29 May 2008.
Objectives of the Workshop
The main goal of the workshop is to provide the offshore industry with the most up-to-date information from the science community on a range of relevant climate change issues such as potential increased storm intensity. From an engineering perspective, estimates are required of expected changes over the next 10-50 years of the probability distributions for key parameters such as wind speed and wave height, including conditions used by the industry for design and estimation of downtime, operability, etc. Environmental perspectives require quantification of changes in the means and probability distributions of some other key parameters such as current velocity, surface roughness, air and water temperature, etc. In addition to the estimation of “most probable” changes, it is very important for the industry to assess the uncertainties in the estimates for both means and probability distributions. Guidance for the industry may also be required with respect to new forecasting services related to predicting extreme events at sea. The workshop will make an effort to identify key topics for future research and potential collaborations. The desired outcomes include the development of joint research activities based on the key topics identified during the meeting, with collaborative participation between industry, the science community and service providers.
Provisional Program
Chairs: Mr Christopher Shaw and Mr Val Swail
Tuesday, 27 May 2008 07:30 – 09:00 Workshop Registration Desk Open 09:00 Opening Ceremony 09:15 – 11:00 Co-sponsors Overview
OGP Overview (Mr Christopher Shaw, Chairperson of the OGP Metocean Committee) WCRP Overview (Dr Ghassem R. Asrar, WCRP Director) JCOMM Overview (Dr Jean-Louis Fellous, JCOMM Co-president) GSSC Overview (Dr Ralph Rayner, Chairperson of the GSSC) IPCC Overview (Prof Thomas Stocker)
11:00 - 11:30 Coffee Break 11:30 – 12:50 Tropical Storms (Dr Thomas Knutson and Dr John McBride) 12:50 - 14:15 Lunch 14:15– 15:35 Extra-tropical Storms (Dr Sergey Gulev and Dr Sofia Caires) 15:35– 16:15 Statistics and Uncertainty (Dr Xiaolan Wang) 16:15 - 16:45 Coffee Break 16:45 – 17:25 Tropical cyclone synthetic storms modeling (Mr Stan Stroud and Prof Lance Leslie) 17:25 – 18:45 Discussion - Breakout groups (Tropical and Extra-tropical Storms, and Statistics and Uncertainty)
Wednesday, 28 May 2008 09:00 – 10:30 Discussion - Plenary (Tropical and Extra-tropical Storms, and Statistics and Uncertainty) 10:30 - 11:00 Coffee Break 11:00 – 11:40 Sea Level (Dr John Church) 11:40 – 12:20 Arctic (Dr Vladimir Ryabinin and Dr Julienne Stroeve) 12:20 - 14:00 Lunch 14:00 – 14:40 Insurance Industry Plans (Dr Rick Murnane) 14:40 – 16:00 Discussion - Plenary (Sea level, Arctic and Insurance Industry Plans) 16:00 - 16:30 Coffee Break 16:30– 18:00 Discussion - Breakout groups (Identification of key areas/priorities and way forward)
Thursday, 29 May 2008 09:00 – 10:30 Discussion – Plenary (Identification of key areas/priorities and way forward) 10:30 - 11:00 Coffee Break 11:00 – 11:20 Announcement of the World Climate Conference 3 (WCC-3) (Mr William Nyakwada) 11:20 – 12:00 Summary and Closure of the Workshop
LogisticsThe Workshop will be conducted in English. Presentations are planned to be of 30 minutes duration, followed by 15 minutes for questions and discussion. Breakout sessions are planned to deliver a set of recommendations on these issues, in particular to address requirements and gaps. Approximately 80 participants will represent intergovernmental organizations, offshore industry and their consultants, insurance companies, National Meteorological Services and academia at the two and a half day workshop. Attendance at the workshop is by invitation only. According to established procedures, financial assistance by the co-sponsoring organizations will not be available to support participation in this event. A Technical Report on a CD-ROM will be produced by WMO, containing workshop presentations, summaries of the discussion sessions and breakout groups, a summary report of the final wrap up discussion, and an Action Plan with recommendations for offshore industry, intergovernmental organizations, national institutions, and the global research community outlining the way forward. The workshop proceedings will also be displayed on the workshop Web site. All relevant information regarding hotel accommodation and other logistics, are currently available here.
Organizing CommitteeMr Christopher Shaw, Chairperson of the OGP Met-ocean Committee Dr Colin Grant, Met-ocean advisor, OGP Mr Cort Cooper, Met-ocean advisor, OGP Mr Johannes Guddal, former JCOMM Co-president Dr Craig Donlon, Coordinator of the JCOMM Services Programme Area Mr Val Swail, Chairperson of the JCOMM Expert Team on Wind Waves and Storm Surges Dr John Church, Chairperson of the Joint Scientific Committee of the WCRP Dr Sergey Gulev, Officer of the Joint Scientific Committee of the WCRP Dr Vladimir Ryabinin, Joint Planning Staff for WCRP Dr Albert Fischer, IOC Secretariat for JCOMM and WCRP Ms Alice Soares, WMO Secretariat for JCOMM
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