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JWGFVR


Forecast Verification Research

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  • To plan and implement the verification component of WWRP;
  • To serve as a focal point for the development and dissemination of new verification methods for WWRP and EPAC, as required;
  • To facilitate and encourage training and dissemination of information on verification methodologies;
  • To take into account the needs of users so as to ensure the relevance of the practice of forecast verification;
  • To facilitate the development and application of improved diagnostic verification methods to assess and enable improvement of the quality of weather forecasts, including forecasts from numerical weather and climate models;
  • To encourage the sharing of observational data for verification purposes;
  • To encourage greater awareness in the research community of the importance of verification as a vital part of numerical and field experiments rather than an "afterthought";
  • To promote collaboration among scientists conducting research on various aspects of forecast verification as well as with model developers and forecast providers; and
  • To collaborate on forecast verification with the Working Group on Numerical Experimentation (WGNE) and WCRP and in coordination with CBS.

NEWS

Summer colloquium on Forecast Verification: Several members of the Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research of the WWRP and WGNE are leading a summer colloquium at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, CO, USA. The colloquium is for graduate students and will be held from 6 to 28 June 2010. Deadline for applications is 15 March 2010 and will be limited to approximately 25 students.
Further information can be found here.

The World Weather Research Programme is pleased to announce the publication of "Recommendations for the Verification and Intercomparison of QPFs and PQPFs from Operational NWP Models - Revision 2 October 2008 (WMO/TD-No.1485 WWRP 2009-1). A project of the WWRP/WGNE Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research, the document aims to recommend a standard methodology for verification and intercomparison of QPFs and PQPFs from NWP models. These recommendations apply to the verification of direct model output precipitation forecasts as well as forecasts which have been subjected to post-processing. The document is divided into 6 sections. Section 1 provides some background information while Section 2 presents the verification strategy. Section 3 discusses the reference data while verification methods and scores can be found in Section 4. The guidelines for reporting verification results are given in Section 5. The recommendations given in the document are summarized in Section 6. Additional details on the verification methods and scores considered in the document can be found in the appendices.

Projects and Activities
Working Group Members
  • Special Issue of Meteorological Applications on Forecast Verification

  • Verification guidance and support for WWRP forecast and research demonstration projects (e.g. MAP D-PHASE, Beijing Olympics)

  • Documentation of recommended methods for specific applications (e.g. precipitation)

  • Workshops on new verification methods;

  • Education and outreach, including web tools and tutorials on verification methods;

  • Development of a Real Time Forecast Verification (RTFV) system;

  • User-focused verification approaches and

  • Methods intercomparisons

 

co-Chair:Barbara BROWN (USA)
bgb@ucar.edu
co-Chair: Beth EBERT (Australia)
e.ebert@bom.gov.au
Harold BROOKS (USA)
harold.brooks@noaa.gov
Barbara CASATI (Ouranos Inc.)
casati.barbara@ouranos.ca
Martin Gober (Germany)
martin.goeber@dwd.de
Anna GHELLI (ECMWF)
anna.ghelli@ecmwf.int
Marion Mittermaier (UK)
marion.mittermaier@metoffice.gov.uk
Pertti NURMI (Finland)
pertti.nurmi@fmi.fi
Joel STEIN (France)
joel.stein@meteo.fr
David Stephenson (University of Exeter)
d.b.stephenson@exeter.ac.uk
Clive Wilson (UK)
clive.wilson@metoffice.gov.uk
Lawrence WILSON (Canada)
lawrence.wilson@ec.gc.ca

Upcoming Meetings


Past Meetings

Summer Colloquim on Forecast Verification (NCAR Boulder CO USA, 6-28 Jun 2010)

 

Fourth International Verification Methods Workshop (Helsinki 4 - 10 Jun 2009)

Joint Meeting of the WG on Mesocale Weather Forecasting Research and JWG on Verification Research (Shanghai, China, 1-3 December 2008)

Meeting of the Working Group on Forecast Verification Research (Boulder, CO, USA, 21-22 April 2008)

Tutorial Session during the recently held Third International Verification Methods Workshop (ECMWF, Reading, 29 Jan - 2 Feb 2007)

 

Publications

Recommendations for the Verification and Intercomparison of QPFs and PQPFs from Operational NWP Models - Revision 2 October 2008 (WMO/TD-No.1485 WWRP 2009-1)

Scientific publications of interest

Special Issue of Meteorological Applications
on Forecast Verification (Volume 15,Issue 1)

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