To monitor the implementation of existing priority projects within the Working Group and to further develop other appropriate research projects as the need arises, under the main programme components: tropical cyclones and monsoons;
To identify and support the research initiatives of NMHSs in tropical countries generally including collaboration with groups in universities or research institutes, which are likely to lead to societal and economic benefits; and
To keep developments in research aspects of the Tropical Cyclone Programme (TCP) under continuous review and facilitate the coordination of research at regional levels by maintaining close liaison with tropical cyclone regional bodies.
Verification methods for tropical cyclone forecasts (prepared by JWGFVR)
WWRP is pleased to announce that the eighth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-VIII) will be held in Jeju, Republic of Korea from 2-10 December 2014. The last 3 days of IWTC-VIII will be devoted to the Third International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone Landfall Processes (IWTCLP-III). The closing ceremony on the last day of the workshop will be preceded by a recapitulation of the recommendations of IWTC-VIII and IWTCLP-III. IWTC-VIII will be co-chaired by Prof Jenni Evans (USA) and Dr Andrew Burton (Australia). Dr Robert Rogers, chair of WWRP/WGTMR Expert Team on Tropical Cyclone Landfall Processes will chair the IWTCLP-III sessions.
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Dr William K.-M. Lau, Deputy Director of NASA’s Earth Science Division and member of WWRP’s Expert Team on Climate Impacts on Monsoons is the lead author of a NASA-led modeling study which provides new evidence that global warming may increase the risk of extreme rainfall and drought. The analysis provides a new assessment of global warming's impacts on precipitation patterns around the world. The study was accepted for publication in the American Geophysical Union journal Geophysical Research Letters.
(Link to news article)
The WMO-TLFDP website is now online and can also be accessed through the WWRP Tropical Cyclone Website. The Typhoon Landfall Forecast Demonstration Project (TLFDP) is a collaborative effort with the THORPEX North Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone Track Ensemble Forecast Research Project. Endorsed by WWRP, TCP and PWS the TLFDP
was envisioned to complement the Shanghai MHEWS project and will collect, integrate and display real-time or near real-time forecast results for both landfalling and non-landfalling typhoons, including their track, intensity, wind and rain distribution. The FDP will also develop and integrate techniques to evaluate and assess the accuracy of forecast of time and location of landfall, gale distribution, and torrential rain, calculate forecast errors of various systems and make a comprehensive analysis of forecast performance, evaluate the reliability of the forecasts and finally assess the social and economic impacts of an improved tropical cyclone forecast service. The website is hosted by the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of CMA's Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Initially scheduled to end in 2012, TLFDP had been extended to end of 2015.
The Second Monsoon Heavy Rainfall Workshop was held in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia from 10 to 12 December 2012. Organized by WWRP's Monsoon Panel led by Prof C.P. Chang, participants at the workshop presented and discussed recent research results on the observation, modelling and prediction of heavy rainfall in the monsoon region. NMHS forecasters in the monsoon region participated in the 3-day event essentially to benefit from the training aspect of the workshop. Also held during the workshop was a planning meeting for the international field and modelling project, Southern China Monsoon Experiment (SCMREX).
The International Workshop on Rapid Change of Tropical Cyclone Intensity and Movement was held in Haikou, Hainan, China from 5-9 November 2012. Organized by the current Chair of WGTMR, Dr Yihong Duan and the former Chair of WWRP's WGTMR, Prof Chen Lianshou, the workshop was attended by tropical cyclone researchers and forecasters.The workshop highlighted recent advances in the theory and practice of forecasting rapid changes in tropical cyclone intensity and track.Powerpoint Presentations ARTICLE: Advances in Understanding and Forecasting Rapidly Changing Phenomena in Tropical Cyclones(R. Elsberry)