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Climate Analysis and Prediction

'IPCC Special' on Climate Analysis and Prediction
On 2 February 2007, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released the Working Group I report Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis of its latest 3-part Assessment Report at a press conference in Paris (see press releases: English/ French). Modelling activities within the WCRP have been fundamental to the completion of the IPCC AR4 and many of the contributing authors are WCRP scientists.


WCRP IPCC poster WCRP and IPCC 11.11.07
Science activities organized and coordinated by the WCRP have formed the basis for much of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. With its Earth System Science (ESSP) partners, WCRP is forging the science agenda for future IPCC assessments. Read more (PDF, 19 MB).
WCRP article (cover) Communicating Climate Research to Decision Makers 05.09.07
By virtue of their leading roles in international climate research, scientists associated with WCRP and the International Geosphere-Bisophere Programme have been at the forefront in providing the essential scientific bases for all four Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessments. Read feature article in the WCRP Annual Report 2006-2007.
Herve le Treut

UN Informal Meeting on Climate Change 02.08.07
On 31 July, top UN officials joined climate experts and business leaders at the UN headquarters in New York for an informal debate on global warming. Discussions aimed to 'consider how to translate the growing scientific consensus on climate change into a broad political consensus for action', a UN statement said. WCRP was represented by Professor Hervé Le Treut, Member of the WCRP Joint Scientific Committee, who presented on Climate Change: a Problem with very Specific Time Scales. More.

Clouds Designing Next Generation Models 06.06.07
Modeling groups are now making decisions on what form their next generation models will take to be used for climate change projections as well as a possible IPCC Fifth Assessment Report. The new summary report 'A strategy for climate change stabilization experiments with atmosphere-ocean general circulation models and Earth system models' (WCRP Informal Report No.3/2007) results from the Aspen Workshop held from 30 July to 5 August 2006 in Aspen, Colorado, USA, and proposes a new set of experiments to be designed.

 

Third IPCC Report on Mitigation Released 04.05.07
The third volume of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report on 'Mitigation of Climate Change' was released on Friday, 4 May 2007, in Bangkok, Thailand, after line-by-line approval by all 180 IPCC member governments. The report focuses on the mitigation of climate change through limiting or preventing greenhouse gas emissions and enhancing activities that remove them from the atmosphere. It also provides information on long-term mitigation strategies for various concentration stabilization levels and sees substantial economic potential in all sectors for the mitigation of global greenhouse gas emissions over the coming decades. Read Summary for Policymakers (PDF) and see press presentation (PDF). 

 

Second IPCC Climate Change Report Released  12.04.07
In a statement, UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon welcomed the release of the findings of Working Group II published in the second report of the WMO/UNEP Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on Friday, 6 April 2007, expressing concern that the impacts of climate change are increasingly noticeable, and likely to become more so in the future, as extreme weather events intensify. More. Download Summary for Policymakers.

 

Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability 04.04.07
The Working Group II report on Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability contributes to the Climate Change 2007 Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The report will be launched on 6 April 2007 in Brussels, Belgium. It provides a comprehensive analysis of how climate change is affecting natural and human systems, what the impacts will be in the future and how far adaptation and mitigation can reduce these impacts. The report also contains chapters on specific systems, sectors and regions. Many of the WCRP scientists involved in the Working Group I report on the Physical Science Basis also contributed to this second volume. More.

 

Event: Connecting Earth System Science Research to Climate Change Policy 29.03.07
The Earth System Science Partnership delivers research on changes occurring in the Earth system and the implications of these changes for sustainability. This event seeks to strengthen the dialogue between scientists and climate change policy makers so as to increase the value of science for policy. ESSP Side Event at SBSTA 26, 7 May 2007, 1-3 pm, Bonn, Germany. Overview and programme.

 

Workshop: Future Climate Change Research and Observations: GCOS, WCRP and IGBP Learning from the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (Invitation Only) 29.03.07
The main goal of the workshop will be to consider the implications from the IPCC AR4 on future climate research challenges and climate observing strategies with a primary focus on the lessons learned from Working Groups I and II. It is intended that the workshop provide a major input into the evolution of the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) and the research agenda for WCRP. 4-6 October 2007, Sydney, Australia. Website.

 

Seminar: Interpreting Climate Change Simulations: Capacity Building for Developing Nations (Invitation Only)  28.03.07
Recognizing that response to climate change requires the capability to appreciate and properly interpret research findings and to apply them to national planning initiatives, the WCRP and the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) wish to support capacity building in developing and least developed countries. WCRP together with the ICTP can help ‘transfer knowledge’ with respect to the science used to make input to and described in the IPCC assessment reports. By improving knowledge pertaining to climate change research can have a significant regional and global impact. 26-30 November 2007, Trieste, Italy.

 

Update on WG2 report: Global Agricultural Production eventually Decreases 20.03.07
Global warming is expected to turn the planet a bit greener by spurring plant growth but crops and forests may wilt beyond mid-century if temperatures keep rising, according to a draft UN report. The 79-page technical summary of the Working Group 2 IPCC Fourth Assessment Report will be released in Brussels on 6 April. Read news article.

 

1000 Climate Experts Now Using Greenhouse Warming Simulations 28.02.07
Today, the 1000th person registered to use the world's most complete collection of global warming data from climate models. The data include both simulations of past climate and projections of the future climate. See the rise in download rate of model output and read the WCRP press release.

 

Backstage from IPCC AR4 06.02.07
The IPCC 4th Assessment Report gave us a wake-up call to change our (energy-dependent) habits. The strength of the Report is the large number of model runs exploring scenarios and parameters, and all of it is available in a coherent archive to the full research community for the first time. The WCRP-initiated Third Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3) under WCRP/CLIVAR Working Group on Coupled Modeling (WGCM) underpins all IPCC multi-model analyses

Crucial Climate Assessment Released 2.02.07
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) releases today the Working Group I report "Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis" of its latest 3-part Assessment Report at a press conference in Paris (see press releases: English/ French).  Modelling activities within the WCRP have been fundamental to the completion of the IPCC AR4. WCRP scientists and projects contribute significantly to the collection and assembly of climate observations, model development and understanding of the climate system necessary for the detection and attribution of climate change. WCRP's Working Group on Coupled Modelling initiated the world's first comprehensive collection and analysis of climate model projections to be established. 

IPCC AR4 WG1 Summary for Policymakers: http://www.ipcc.ch/SPM2feb07.pdf

IPCC AR4 Full Report:
http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/wg1-report.html

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